Pre-Match Report: Parma vs Bologna
Parma vs. Bologna - Serie A Pre-Match Report
Match Preview
The upcoming Serie A match features Parma hosting Bologna. Scheduled for February 22, 2025 (14:00 UTC), this encounter has garnered attention among analysts due to the contrasting form of both teams. Bologna come into the game as favorites, aiming to consolidate their superior run of form and extend their head-to-head domination over Parma.
Team Form and Performance
Bologna:
• Bologna have an impressive track record in recent encounters, highlighted by strong possession figures (close to 58%) and an average of almost six shots on goal.
• They recently recorded a 3–2 victory against Torino, where they dominated with approximately 65% possession and six shots on target.
Parma:
• Parma are struggling, suffering four consecutive defeats and holding a record of one win, seven losses, and two draws in their last 10 league matches.
• Their attacking threat has been limited (around 0.9 goals per match), and possession stands at about 44.9%—factors that place them at a marked disadvantage against a strong Bologna side.
Key Players and Injuries
Bologna:
• Bologna’s injury list is relatively short. Defenders like Emil Holm (thigh), forward Jens Odgaard (hamstring), and midfielder Lewis Ferguson (muscle issue) are sidelined until mid-March.
• Despite these absences, Bologna have enough squad depth to manage the impact on their performance.
Parma:
• Parma face significant injury and suspension concerns. Giovanni Leoni is unavailable due to a red card, and crucial players such as Valentin Mihaila (thigh), Milan Djuric (knee), Mateusz Kowalski (cruciate ligament), Gabriel Charpentier (cruciate), and Alessandro Circati (cruciate) are all expected to miss out.
• These setbacks have hampered Parma’s ability to establish rhythm and could further compound their poor run of form.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Bologna have dominated recent meetings with Parma, either winning or drawing their last six head-to-head encounters (three wins and three draws). This consistent record underscores Bologna’s historical edge and bolsters their confidence heading into the match.
Betting Insights
• Recommendation: The expert consensus is to back Bologna to Win.
• Odds and Value: Market odds vary slightly: some data suggests Bologna are available at 1.85, while other sources note a line of around 1.91. Both price points indicate potentially good value, given analysts’ estimation of a 55–60% chance for a Bologna victory.
• Risk Profile: The estimated 57% probability for a Bologna win translates to a 43% risk of losing the wager, aligning with typical soccer match variances.
• Supporting Factors: Superior possession stats, Parma’s injury-depleted squad, and a favorable head-to-head record all reinforce the recommendation. Some tipsters even suggest a possible correct score of 2–1 for those seeking higher returns.
Overall, the data supports a strong case for Bologna. Their recent form, historical dominance over Parma, higher possession metrics, and Parma’s injury issues converge to make Bologna an attractive betting option for this Serie A clash.
