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Craig Morrison
Tipster dossier — settled-bet performance through 2026-08-13 02:21 UTC
Verdict
BREAK-EVEN / MARGINAL
Small sample (8 bets) — anything below ~100 settled bets means CIs are wide enough to be near-useless. Calibration is positive: actual win rate 37.5% beats market-implied 34.2% by +3.3pp — picks have measurable skill versus fair odds. Bayesian-shrunk ROI (regressed toward -13% population baseline by sample size) is -11.9% — a more honest expectation than the raw -5.0%.
Bio & context
Craig Morrison appears to be a racing tipster associated with SKY Racing who provides tips through platforms like theGreatTipOff. Limited public information is available to verify his background, methodology, or track record. A LinkedIn profile indicates he works as a Horse Racing Broadcaster, but detailed biographical information, tenure, and any potential conflicts of interest could not be confirmed through publicly available sources.
Racing broadcaster and tipster
⚠ Conflict / insider flags
- Insufficient public information to identify potential conflicts of interest
Public footprint
- theGreatTipOff platform (SKY Racing section)
- LinkedIn profile (Horse Racing Broadcaster)
- Possible Twitter: @craigmorro47 (unconfirmed if same person)
Source: anthropic_web_search · last researched 2026-06-10
Since last weekly snapshot: ROI: +7.0% (-12.0% → -5.0%) · Shrunk ROI: +0.7% (-12.6% → -11.9%) · Verdict: STRUCTURALLY LOSING → BREAK-EVEN / MARGINAL
Charts
Cumulative P/L (theoretical $1 stakes)
A straight upward line = consistent profitability. Step-jumps = single fortunate bets carrying the curve.
Monthly ROI %
Top 10 P/L outliers
ROI by odds bracket
Calibration — actual vs implied win rate by odds
Blue bars under orange = picks lose to market expectations.
ROI by day of week
At a glance
Total P/L ($1 stakes)
$-0.40
Bayesian-shrunk ROI
-11.9%
Implied Win % (1/odds)
34.2%
What's driving the ROI?
Strip away the top winning bets and see how the picture changes — a stable record degrades gracefully,
a lucky record collapses.
(insufficient data)
Recent trend
(insufficient sample to compare recent vs prior)
Monthly performance
| Month | N | Win % | Avg Odds | P/L | ROI |
|---|
| 2026-05 | 8 | 37.5% | 3.61 | $-0.40 | -5.0% |
By odds bracket
| Odds | N | Win % | P/L | ROI |
|---|
| <2.0 | 1 | 100.0% | +$0.70 | +70.0% |
| 2.0-3.0 | 2 | 50.0% | +$0.10 | +5.0% |
| 3.0-5.0 | 4 | 25.0% | $-0.20 | -5.0% |
| 8.0-15 | 1 | 0.0% | $-1.00 | -100.0% |
By pre-race rank
No pre-race rank data yet for this tipster.
Strategy Zone (rank ≤ 3 AND odds ≥ 5)
No rank data yet.
By source
| Source | N | Win % | P/L | ROI |
|---|
| racing_com | 8 | 37.5% | $-0.40 | -5.0% |
By venue
Top venues (by total P/L)
| Venue | N | Win % | P/L | ROI |
|---|
| albany | 8 | 37.5% | $-0.40 | -5.0% |
By day of week
| Day | N | Win % | P/L | ROI |
|---|
| Fri | 8 | 37.5% | $-0.40 | -5.0% |
Place market
No place outcomes captured yet for this tipster.
Biggest wins
| Date | Venue | Selection | Odds | P/L |
| 2026-05-15 | albany | We Love Charlie | 3.80 | +$2.80 |
| 2026-05-15 | albany | Pincer Movement | 2.10 | +$1.10 |
| 2026-05-15 | albany | Conducive | 1.70 | +$0.70 |
Biggest losses
| Date | Venue | Selection | Odds | P/L |
| 2026-05-15 | albany | Magic Mikey | 8.50 | $-1.00 |
| 2026-05-15 | albany | Diablo Lad | 3.50 | $-1.00 |
| 2026-05-15 | albany | What A Prince | 3.70 | $-1.00 |
| 2026-05-15 | albany | Brave Apache | 3.30 | $-1.00 |
| 2026-05-15 | albany | Enchanted Miss | 2.30 | $-1.00 |
Generated 2026-08-13 02:21 UTC. Stats based on theoretical $1 BACK stakes settled on Betfair. Place data uses captured Betfair Starting Price.
ROI = total P/L divided by total bets — high variance at small samples.