| Time | Tipster | Selection | Odds | Stake |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-11T06:35 | Ace Previews | Aleksandar Vukic | 2.96 | $1.00 |
| 2026-02-10T10:05 | Ace Previews | Zizou Bergs | 2.10 | $1.00 |
| 2026-01-30T01:35 | Cam Luke | Extraglow | 2.00 | $1.00 |
| 2026-01-30T01:35 | Cam Luke | Shaddap | 3.25 | $1.00 |
| 2025-12-29T06:35 | Michael Tye | 3. Irish Zoe | 3.00 | $1.00 |
| 2025-12-24T05:35 | Betfair Rated Model | 6. Booya Boy | 9.40 | $1.00 |
| 2025-12-24T04:35 | Mitch Lewis | 6. Associate | 2.00 | $1.00 |
| 2025-12-23T23:05 | The Leg Up | 2. The Hamo | 2.98 | $1.00 |
| 2025-12-23T05:35 | Betfair Rated Model | 11. Grassburn | 6.80 | $1.00 |
| 2025-12-21T04:05 | Betfair Data Scientists | 5. Proven Record | 5.90 | $1.00 |
Note: Lapsed bets occur when the odds move before your bet is matched. Also showing 8 void bets (scratched horses, cancelled events).
| Time (AEST) | Source | Tipster | Event | Selection | Odds | AI | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.Feb 13:10 | Ladbrokes Blog | Jared Timms | Coffs Harbour R1 | Grafting | - | SKIP 41% | BET |
| 15.Feb 13:45 | Ladbrokes Blog | Jared Timms | Coffs Harbour R2 | Unite The Stars | - | SKIP 41% | BET |
| 15.Feb 16:15 | Ladbrokes Blog | Jared Timms | Coffs Harbour R6 | Scripted | - | SKIP 41% | BET |
| 15.Feb 16:55 | Ladbrokes Blog | Jared Timms | Coffs Harbour R7 | Patrioticintention | - | SKIP 41% | BET |
| 14.Feb 23:08* | Ladbrokes Blog | Jared Timms | Randwick R9 | Lazzura | - | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 14.Feb 23:08* | Ladbrokes Blog | Jared Timms | Flemington R8 | Giga Kick | - | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 14.Feb 23:08* | Ladbrokes Blog | Jared Timms | Randwick R7 | Joliestar | - | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 14.Feb 23:08* | Ladbrokes Blog | Jared Timms | Flemington R6 | Saint George | - | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 14.Feb 12:34* | Sky | Sky Racing - Darren McAullay | PINJARRA R8 | Hubble's Dragon | - | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 14.Feb 12:34* | Sky | Sky Racing - Darren McAullay | PINJARRA R7 | They'reallsisters | - | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 14.Feb 14:26* | Racing Com | Scott Embry | Pinjarra Park R4 | All Grunt | 3.50 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 14.Feb 14:26* | Racing Com | Scott Embry | Pinjarra Park R8 | Twisted Steel | 2.50 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 14.Feb 14:26* | Racing Com | Scott Embry | Pinjarra Park R5 | Oisin | 3.50 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 14.Feb 14:26* | Racing Com | Scott Embry | Pinjarra Park R2 | Mangifera | 3.60 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 14.Feb 14:26* | Racing Com | Scott Embry | Pinjarra Park R7 | They'reallsisters | 2.25 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 14.Feb 14:26* | Racing Com | Scott Embry | Pinjarra Park R1 | Platinum Shot | 2.90 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 14.Feb 14:26* | Racing Com | Scott Embry | Pinjarra Park R3 | Decoration | 6.50 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 14.Feb 14:26* | Racing Com | Scott Embry | Pinjarra Park R9 | Miss Finkmeyer | 5.50 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 14.Feb 14:26* | Racing Com | Scott Embry | Pinjarra Park R6 | Galway Shawl | 3.30 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 14.Feb 12:56* | Racing Com | Tim Edwards | Morphettville Park... | Tough Talk | 3.20 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 14.Feb 12:56* | Racing Com | Tim Edwards | Morphettville Park... | Nextonixs | 3.90 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 14.Feb 12:56* | Racing Com | Tim Edwards | Morphettville Park... | Babayka | 6.00 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 14.Feb 12:56* | Racing Com | Tim Edwards | Morphettville Park... | Streetcar Apollo | 5.50 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 14.Feb 12:56* | Racing Com | Tim Edwards | Morphettville Park... | Sicilian Princess | 4.00 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 14.Feb 12:56* | Racing Com | Tim Edwards | Morphettville Park... | Bootlegger | 8.50 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 14.Feb 12:56* | Racing Com | Tim Edwards | Morphettville Park... | Coorong Tycoon | 3.50 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 14.Feb 12:56* | Racing Com | Tim Edwards | Morphettville Park... | The Back Page | 7.50 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 14.Feb 12:56* | Racing Com | Tim Edwards | Morphettville Park... | All Shot | 7.00 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 14.Feb 12:44* | Sportsbet | Howard Walter | Great Northern Bre... | Sonic Arrow | 10.00 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 14.Feb 12:44* | Sportsbet | Howard Walter | Kilcoy Diggers Mdn... | Wimoweh | 1.22 | - | NO BF TRACK |
Record: 4W-13L | 6 pending | P/L: -$6.08
| Time | Src | Tipster | Event | Selection | Odds | Stake | Result | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb 05:05 | BF | Jared Timms | Coffs Harbour R7 | Patrioticintention | 6.40 | $1.00 | PENDING | - |
| 15 Feb 04:35 | BF | Jared Timms | Coffs Harbour R6 | Scripted | 2.54 | $1.00 | PENDING | - |
| 15 Feb 02:05 | BF | Jared Timms | Coffs Harbour R2 | Unite The Stars | 2.74 | $1.00 | PENDING | - |
| 15 Feb 01:35 | BF | Jared Timms | Coffs Harbour R1 | Grafting | 1.67 | $1.00 | PENDING | - |
| 14 Feb 16:35 | BF | Stats Insider | Flemington | 2. Sixties | 1.90 | $1.00 | WON | +$0.90 |
| 14 Feb 16:05 | BF | Stats Insider | Flemington | 4. Tentyris | 3.05 | $1.00 | PENDING | - |
| 14 Feb 16:05 | Hub | 2 UNITS | Flemington | 1. Giga Kick | 3.65 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 14 Feb 14:35 | BF | Tony Kneebone | Be Captivated Trophy | Scary | 8.00 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 14 Feb 14:35 | Hub | 2 UNITS | Flemington | 2. Saint George | 2.68 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 14 Feb 14:35 | Hub | 2 UNITS | Morphettville | 4. Tough Talk | 3.55 | $1.00 | WON | +$2.55 |
| 14 Feb 13:35 | Hub | 2 UNITS | Flemington | 5. Tango Jewel | 4.60 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 14 Feb 13:35 | Hub | 2 UNITS | Flemington | 5. Tango Jewel | 1.57 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 14 Feb 13:05 | Hub | 2 UNITS | Flemington | 3. Custom | 7.40 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 14 Feb 13:05 | Hub | Glenn Ingram | Ballarat | 6. Regal Ambition | 3.65 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 14 Feb 12:35 | Hub | 2 UNITS | Morphettville | 5. High On Sugar | 3.60 | $1.00 | WON | +$2.60 |
| 14 Feb 11:35 | BF | Tony Kneebone | VOBIS Gold Prelude (QC) | Immortal Star | 2.24 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 14 Feb 11:35 | BF | Tony Kneebone | The Schweppes Plate | Great Maximus | 6.80 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 14 Feb 11:35 | BF | Tony Kneebone | Desirable Stakes | Ole Dancer | 2.76 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 14 Feb 11:35 | BF | Tony Kneebone | CS Hayes Stakes | Sixties | 1.87 | $1.00 | WON | +$0.87 |
| 14 Feb 11:35 | BF | Tony Kneebone | Frances Tressady Stakes | Philia | 5.00 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 14 Feb 11:35 | BF | Tony Kneebone | TAB Talindert Stakes | Zambales | 2.80 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 14 Feb 11:35 | BF | Tony Kneebone | Black Caviar Lightning | Tentyris | 2.74 | $1.00 | PENDING | - |
| 14 Feb 11:35 | BF | Tony Kneebone | The Elms Handicap | Sabaj | 2.96 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
Record: 7W-19L | P/L: -$1.61
| Time | Src | Tipster | Event | Selection | Odds | Stake | Result | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 05:35 | BF | Jared Timms | Randwick R9 | Lazzura | 6.00 | $1.00 | VOID | +$0.00 |
| 14 Feb 04:35 | BF | Jared Timms | Flemington R8 | Giga Kick | 4.70 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 14 Feb 04:05 | BF | Jared Timms | Randwick R7 | Joliestar | 2.78 | $1.00 | WON | +$1.78 |
| 14 Feb 03:35 | BF | Jared Timms | Flemington R6 | Saint George | 2.88 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 14 Feb 02:05 | Hub | 2 UNITS | Flemington | 8. Taka Speed | 7.00 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 14 Feb 01:35 | Hub | 2 UNITS | Flemington | 6. Fiorenot | 3.60 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 14 Feb 00:35 | Hub | 2 UNITS | Randwick | 8. Warrior For Peace | 4.40 | $1.00 | WON | +$3.40 |
| 13 Feb 22:35 | Hub | Matt Welsh | Flemington | 4. Hard Kick | 3.95 | $1.00 | WON | +$2.95 |
| 13 Feb 20:05 | BF | Stats Insider | Cranbourne | 6. Sir Atlas | 2.70 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 13 Feb 17:05 | BF | Glenn Ingram | Sir Atlas | 9.20 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 | |
| 13 Feb 16:05 | BF | Glenn Ingram | Sir Atlas | 2.98 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 | |
| 13 Feb 15:05 | BF | Jared Timms | Cranbourne R5 | Egerton | 2.66 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 13 Feb 15:05 | BF | Jared Timms | Cranbourne R3 | American Wolf | 2.20 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 13 Feb 15:05 | BF | Jared Timms | Cranbourne R7 | Rock Them Jools | 2.56 | $1.00 | WON | +$1.56 |
| 13 Feb 15:05 | BF | Jared Timms | Cranbourne R4 | Astral Flame | 3.50 | $1.00 | WON | +$2.50 |
| 13 Feb 09:58 | BF | Sky Racing - Ma... | Hobart (AUS) 13th Feb | Talk Is Cheap | 3.85 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 13 Feb 09:58 | BF | Sky Racing - Ma... | Hobart (AUS) 13th Feb | Shallow Beach | 2.20 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 13 Feb 09:58 | BF | Sky Racing - Ma... | Hobart (AUS) 13th Feb | Gueneveres Madonna | 2.30 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 13 Feb 09:58 | BF | Sky Racing - Ma... | Hobart (AUS) 13th Feb | Defence Attorney | 5.20 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 13 Feb 09:58 | BF | Sky Racing - Ma... | Hobart (AUS) 13th Feb | Imperial Laz | 2.90 | $1.00 | WON | +$1.90 |
| 12 Feb 22:05 | Hub | Ace Previews | Muchova v A Kalinskaya | Anna Kalinskaya | 2.66 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 12 Feb 19:35 | Hub | Glenn Ingram | Pakenham | 2. Alero | 2.84 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 12 Feb 19:05 | Hub | Ace Previews | Khachanov v Munar | Karen Khachanov | 1.69 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 12 Feb 12:05 | BF | Jared Timms | Goulburn R7 | Group Chat | 3.80 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 12 Feb 12:05 | BF | Jared Timms | Pakenham R5 | Chiringita | 2.26 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 12 Feb 12:05 | BF | Jared Timms | Pakenham R4 | Irreverent | 2.90 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 12 Feb 12:05 | BF | Jared Timms | Goulburn R3 | Canadian Fling | 4.30 | $1.00 | WON | +$3.30 |
| Time (AEST) | Source | Tipster | Event | Selection | Odds | AI | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.Feb 22:12 | Sky | Sky Racing - Chris Barsby | ALBION PARK R7 | Sergios Rocket | 1.02 | SKIP 40% | LOST |
| 14.Feb 21:40 | Sky | Sky Racing - Chris Barsby | ALBION PARK R6 | Udderly Sweet | 1.02 | SKIP 40% | WON |
| 14.Feb 21:12 | Sky | Sky Racing - Chris Barsby | ALBION PARK R5 | Post Painter | 1.02 | SKIP 40% | WON |
| 14.Feb 20:54* | Hub | Betfair Cricket Trader | New Zealand v Sout... | South Africa | 1.91 | BET 59% | WON |
| 14.Feb 20:54* | Hub | Ryan Spice | Albion Park | 1. Ajay Volstead | 2.62 | BET 40% | LOST |
| 14.Feb 20:44 | Sky | Sky Racing - Chris Barsby | ALBION PARK R4 | Cheerstolou | 1.02 | SKIP 40% | WON |
| 14.Feb 20:28 | Sky | Sky Racing - Darren McAullay | PINJARRA R9 | Miss Finkmeyer | 5.70 | SKIP 8% | LOST |
| 14.Feb 20:24* | Hub | Ryan Spice | Albion Park | 2. Ohana Dancer | 6.20 | SKIP 16% | WON |
| 14.Feb 20:24* | Hub | Will Norman | Menangle | 7. Jungle Eyes | 2.82 | SKIP 25% | LOST |
| 14.Feb 20:08 | Sky | Sky Racing - Chris Barsby | ALBION PARK R3 | Speak The Truth | 1.02 | - | WON |
| 14.Feb 19:54* | Hub | Ryan Spice | Albion Park | 4. Always Dancing | 3.60 | SKIP 23% | LOST |
| 14.Feb 19:54* | Hub | Ryan Spice | Albion Park | 1. Udderly Sweet | 1.42 | SKIP 63% | WON |
| 14.Feb 19:54* | Hub | Terry Leighton | Pinjarra | 12. Written Words | 5.10 | SKIP 12% | LOST |
| 14.Feb 19:54* | Hub | Terry Leighton | Pinjarra | 11. Miss Finkmeyer | 5.30 | SKIP 11% | LOST |
| 14.Feb 19:54* | Hub | Will Norman | Menangle | 8. Sinaloa | 5.20 | BET 21% | LOST |
| 14.Feb 19:54* | Hub | Ryan Spice | Albion Park | 7. Tims A Trooper | 1.62 | - | WON |
| 14.Feb 19:41 | Sky | Sky Racing - Chris Barsby | ALBION PARK R2 | Final Deadline | 1.02 | - | WON |
| 14.Feb 19:08 | Sky | Sky Racing - Chris Barsby | ALBION PARK R1 | Braventreacherous | 1.02 | - | LOST |
| 14.Feb 18:39 | Sky | Sky Racing - Darren McAullay | PINJARRA R6 | Supernatural | 3.45 | - | LOST |
| 14.Feb 18:32 | SEN | Sam Hyland | Darwin R6 | Juelene | 2.75 | - | LOST |
| 14.Feb 18:07 | SEN | Sam Hyland | Eagle Farm R10 | Press Link | 3.40 | - | WON |
| 14.Feb 17:58 | Sky | Sky Racing - Darren McAullay | PINJARRA R5 | Shazair | 3.15 | - | LOST |
| 14.Feb 17:56 | Rated | Betfair Rated Model | DARWIN R5 1100m Hc... | 5. Stormfront | 3.43 | - | LOST |
| 14.Feb 17:35 | Sky | Sky Racing - Belinda Smith | NEWCASTLE R8 | Il Passero | 1.23 | - | WON |
| 14.Feb 17:18 | Sky | Sky Racing - Darren McAullay | PINJARRA R4 | Late Arrival | 8.20 | - | VOID |
| Source | Bets | Record | P/L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bf Rated Model | 55 | 12W-41L | +$18.97 | +34.5% |
| Hub Best Bets | 403 | 134W-260L | -$83.97 | -20.8% |
| Betfair Tips | 608 | 170W-419L | -$119.80 | -19.7% |
Model: logistic_v1 | Training Data: 5,989 samples | L2 Lambda: 0.1 | Calibration: 10 points | Last Retrain: 14 Feb 16:40 AEST
How each feature affects P(win). Bias: -0.955
Green = increases / Red = decreases win probability
| Feature | Weight | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Trainer Edge | +0.288 |
|
| Tipster x Odds | +0.270 |
|
| Jockey Edge | +0.260 |
|
| Odds Bracket Edge | -0.234 |
|
| Implied Prob | +0.232 |
|
| Log Odds | -0.228 |
|
| Venue Edge | +0.196 |
|
| Tipster Edge (All) | +0.057 |
|
| Tipster Volume | +0.053 |
|
| Tipster Edge (30d) | +0.030 |
|
| Category Edge | +0.025 |
|
| Recent Form | +0.023 |
|
| Source Edge | -0.018 |
|
Predicted vs actual win rates
| Prob Range | Count | Predicted | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-30% | 819 | 16% | 22% | +6% |
| 30-50% | 4362 | 36% | 30% | -6% |
| 50-70% | 283 | 61% | 45% | -16% |
| 70-100% | 45 | 70% | 51% | -19% |
Last 12 hours and next 12 hours of tips, sorted by event time. Showing: 18 | BET: 3 | SKIP: 15 | Settled: 14 | Avg EV: -0.26 | Accuracy: 50.0%
| Event (AEST) | Tipster | Selection | Odds | EV | Edge | Source | AI Prob | Decision | Top Factor | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb 16:55 | Jared Timms | NO BF Patrioticintention | - | -0.19 | -9.4% | LB | 40.6% | SKIP | pending | |
| 15 Feb 16:15 | Jared Timms | NO BF Scripted | - | -0.19 | -9.4% | LB | 40.6% | SKIP | pending | |
| 15 Feb 13:45 | Jared Timms | NO BF Unite The Stars | - | -0.19 | -9.4% | LB | 40.6% | SKIP | pending | |
| 15 Feb 13:10 | Jared Timms | NO BF Grafting | - | -0.19 | -9.4% | LB | 40.6% | SKIP | pending | |
| 15 Feb 00:30 | Betfair Cricket Trader | South Africa | 1.91 | +0.14 | +7.1% | Hub | 59.5% | BET | WON +$0.91 | |
| 14 Feb 23:06 | Ryan Spice | 1. Ajay Volstead | 2.62 | +0.06 | +2.2% | Hub | 40.4% | BET | LOST -$1.00 | |
| 14 Feb 22:41 | Ryan Spice | 2. Ohana Dancer | 6.20 | +0.02 | +0.3% | Hub | 16.5% | SKIP | WON +$5.20 | |
| 14 Feb 22:24 | Will Norman | 7. Jungle Eyes | 2.82 | -0.30 | -10.6% | Hub | 24.9% | SKIP | LOST -$1.00 | |
| 14 Feb 22:12 | Sky Racing - Chris Barsby | Sergios Rocket | 1.02 | -0.59 | -58.0% | Sky | 40.1% | SKIP | LOST -$1.00 | |
| 14 Feb 21:40 | Ryan Spice | 1. Udderly Sweet | 1.42 | -0.11 | -7.5% | Hub | 63.0% | SKIP | WON +$0.42 | |
| 14 Feb 21:40 | Sky Racing - Chris Barsby | Udderly Sweet | 1.02 | -0.59 | -58.0% | Sky | 40.1% | SKIP | WON +$0.02 | |
| 14 Feb 21:40 | Ryan Spice | 4. Always Dancing | 3.60 | -0.18 | -5.0% | Hub | 22.7% | SKIP | LOST -$1.00 | |
| 14 Feb 21:12 | Sky Racing - Chris Barsby | Post Painter | 1.02 | -0.59 | -58.0% | Sky | 40.1% | SKIP | WON +$0.02 | |
| 14 Feb 20:44 | Sky Racing - Chris Barsby | Cheerstolou | 1.02 | -0.59 | -58.0% | Sky | 40.1% | SKIP | WON +$0.02 | |
| 14 Feb 20:28 | Terry Leighton | 12. Written Words | 5.10 | -0.38 | -7.5% | Hub | 12.1% | SKIP | LOST -$1.00 | |
| 14 Feb 20:28 | Terry Leighton | 11. Miss Finkmeyer | 5.30 | -0.41 | -7.7% | Hub | 11.2% | SKIP | LOST -$1.00 | |
| 14 Feb 20:28 | Sky Racing - Darren McAullay | Miss Finkmeyer | 5.70 | -0.55 | -9.6% | Sky | 7.9% | SKIP | LOST -$1.00 | |
| 14 Feb 20:20 | Will Norman | 8. Sinaloa | 5.20 | +0.11 | +2.2% | Hub | 21.4% | BET | LOST -$1.00 |