| Time | Tipster | Selection | Odds | Stake |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-03T11:05 | Betfair Cricket Trader | New Zealand | 2.52 | $1.00 |
| 2026-02-27T00:35 | Matt Welsh | 8. Ladhar | 4.90 | $1.00 |
| 2026-02-27T00:05 | Ben Asgari | 1. Bel Merci | 4.70 | $1.00 |
| 2026-02-14T05:05 | Stats Insider | 4. Tentyris | 3.05 | $1.00 |
| 2026-02-14T00:35 | Tony Kneebone | Tentyris | 2.74 | $1.00 |
| 2026-02-11T06:35 | Ace Previews | Aleksandar Vukic | 2.96 | $1.00 |
| 2026-02-10T10:05 | Ace Previews | Zizou Bergs | 2.10 | $1.00 |
| 2026-01-30T01:35 | Cam Luke | Extraglow | 2.00 | $1.00 |
| 2026-01-30T01:35 | Cam Luke | Shaddap | 3.25 | $1.00 |
| 2025-12-29T06:35 | Michael Tye | 3. Irish Zoe | 3.00 | $1.00 |
Note: Lapsed bets occur when the odds move before your bet is matched. Also showing 17 void bets (scratched horses, cancelled events).
| Time (AEST) | Source | Tipster | Event | Selection | Odds | AI | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.Mar 04:14* | Sportsbet | Adam Williams | Ipswich R6 | Guac On | 4.20 | SKIP 24% | TRACK |
| 26.Mar 03:14* | Sportsbet | Adam Williams | Ipswich R4 | Run Lucy Run | 1.55 | SKIP 48% | TRACK |
| 26.Mar 00:14* | Sportsbet | Shayne Montgomery | Bhp Mt Arthur Show... | Miss Busslinger | 4.00 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 26.Mar 00:14* | Sportsbet | Shayne Montgomery | Denbrook Thoroughb... | Siragusa | 2.00 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 25.Mar 17:56* | Racing Com | Chris Nelson | Eagle Farm R6 | Esprit Du Jour | 4.50 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 25.Mar 15:44* | Sportsbet | Adam Williams | Barrier Reef Pools... | Guac On | 6.50 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 25.Mar 15:44* | Sportsbet | Adam Williams | Poco Vino Hcp R4 | Run Lucy Run | 1.85 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 25.Mar 12:38* | SEN | Miles Pfitzner | Randwick-kensingto... | Cap Saint Martin | 3.30 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 25.Mar 12:38* | SEN | David Taggart | Randwick-kensingto... | Horseshoe Hill | 3.30 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 25.Mar 12:38* | SEN | David Taggart | Randwick-kensingto... | Cando Attitude | 11.00 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 25.Mar 12:38* | SEN | Miles Pfitzner | Randwick-kensingto... | Hay Street | 2.35 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 25.Mar 12:38* | SEN | David Taggart | Randwick-kensingto... | She's Extra | 2.45 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 25.Mar 11:56* | Racing Com | Matt Hill | Sportsbet Sandown ... | Santana | 2.45 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 25.Mar 11:56* | Racing Com | Matt Hill | Sportsbet Sandown ... | King's Address | 4.80 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 25.Mar 11:56* | Racing Com | Matt Hill | Sportsbet Sandown ... | Trapdoor | 2.25 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 25.Mar 11:56* | Racing Com | Matt Hill | Sportsbet Sandown ... | Gold Coast Belle | 3.10 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 25.Mar 11:56* | Racing Com | Matt Hill | Sportsbet Sandown ... | Lady Thinkabell | 2.50 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 25.Mar 11:56* | Racing Com | Matt Hill | Sportsbet Sandown ... | King Tut | 5.50 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 25.Mar 11:56* | Racing Com | Matt Hill | Sportsbet Sandown ... | Factcheck | 2.10 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 25.Mar 11:56* | Racing Com | Matt Hill | Sportsbet Sandown ... | Obvious | 4.20 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 25.Mar 11:26* | Racing Com | Brent Zerafa | Sportsbet Sandown ... | Hydrobomb | 3.50 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 25.Mar 11:26* | Racing Com | Brent Zerafa | Sportsbet Sandown ... | Highland Harley | 10.00 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 25.Mar 11:26* | Racing Com | Brent Zerafa | Sportsbet Sandown ... | Gold Coast Belle | 3.10 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 25.Mar 11:26* | Racing Com | Brent Zerafa | Sportsbet Sandown ... | Obvious | 4.20 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 25.Mar 11:26* | Racing Com | Brent Zerafa | Sportsbet Sandown ... | Santana | 2.60 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 25.Mar 11:26* | Racing Com | Brent Zerafa | Sportsbet Sandown ... | Factcheck | 2.10 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 25.Mar 11:26* | Racing Com | Brent Zerafa | Sportsbet Sandown ... | Empress Of The Sun | 6.50 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 25.Mar 11:26* | Racing Com | Brent Zerafa | Sportsbet Sandown ... | Steel Trap | 6.50 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 25.Mar 11:26* | Racing Com | Harry White | Canberra R1 | Dancer's Delight | - | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 25.Mar 11:26* | Racing Com | Chris Camilleri | Kensington R1 | She's Extra | 2.50 | - | NO BF TRACK |
Record: 2W-4L | P/L: +$2.56
| Time | Src | Tipster | Event | Selection | Odds | Stake | Result | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar 15:05 | BF | Betfair Rated M... | EAGLE FARM R3 1200m 3yo | 2. Delicious Derek | 7.20 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 25 Mar 11:35 | BF | Rylie Morgan | SWAN DRAUGHT HANDICAP | Eternal Wine | 2.56 | $1.00 | WON | +$1.56 |
| 25 Mar 11:35 | BF | Rylie Morgan | SHARE BETS WITH TABTOUCH ... | Jolson Al | 3.15 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 25 Mar 11:35 | BF | Chris Nelson | SKY RACING Class 3 Plate | Heavenly Love | 6.60 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 25 Mar 11:35 | BF | Rylie Morgan | LIQUOR BARONS PLATE | Dixie Doo | 6.00 | $1.00 | WON | +$5.00 |
| 25 Mar 11:35 | BF | Sky Racing - Da... | Belmont (AUS) 25th Mar | Truly Gallant | 5.00 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
Record: 1W-9L | P/L: -$1.00
| Time | Src | Tipster | Event | Selection | Odds | Stake | Result | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar 15:35 | BF | Betfair Rated M... | PORT MACQUARIE R5 1200m C... | 1. Tides Turning | 7.40 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 24 Mar 15:35 | BF | Betfair Rated M... | ROCKHAMPTON R3 1400m Mdn | 6. Leica Flamingo | 9.00 | $1.00 | WON | +$8.00 |
| 24 Mar 13:05 | BF | Betfair Rated M... | YARRA VALLEY R3 1500m Mdn | 8. Crismera | 7.40 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 24 Mar 11:35 | BF | Chris Nelson | Supagas BM60 Handicap | Storm Force Ten | 8.40 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 24 Mar 11:35 | BF | Betfair Rated M... | YARRA VALLEY R1 1200m 3yo | 4. Fully Funded | 8.40 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 24 Mar 11:05 | BF | Sky Racing - Mi... | Rockhampton (AUS) 24th Ma... | Electric Brae | 8.00 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 24 Mar 11:05 | BF | Sky Racing - Mi... | Rockhampton (AUS) 24th Ma... | Heroic Talent | 7.60 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 24 Mar 09:05 | BF | Sky Racing - Ru... | Rockhampton (AUS) 24th Ma... | Amberinger | 7.80 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 24 Mar 09:05 | BF | Sky Racing - Be... | Port Macquarie (AUS) 24th... | Master Zous | 6.60 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 23 Mar 12:35 | BF | Amanda Rando | Bathurst (AUS) 23rd Mar | Berocca Bernie | 7.40 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| Time (AEST) | Source | Tipster | Event | Selection | Odds | AI | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.Mar 20:40 | Sky | Sky Racing - Darren McAullay | Belmont R7 | Eternal Romance | 7.40 | SKIP 16% | LOST |
| 25.Mar 20:40 | Racing Com | Rylie Morgan | Belmont R7 | Fey King | 4.20 | SKIP 21% | WON |
| 25.Mar 20:05 | Sky | Sky Racing - Darren McAullay | Belmont R6 | Rally The Troops | 3.90 | SKIP 17% | WON |
| 25.Mar 20:05 | Racing Com | Rylie Morgan | Belmont R6 | Rally The Troops | 3.40 | SKIP 17% | WON |
| 25.Mar 19:30 | Sky | Sky Racing - Darren McAullay | Belmont R5 | Firearm | 3.75 | SKIP 27% | LOST |
| 25.Mar 19:30 | Racing Com | Rylie Morgan | Belmont R5 | Dixie Doo | 6.00 | BET 39% | WON |
| 25.Mar 18:55 | Sky | Sky Racing - Darren McAullay | Belmont R4 | Truly Gallant | 5.00 | BET 34% | LOST |
| 25.Mar 18:55 | Racing Com | Rylie Morgan | Belmont R4 | Truly Gallant | 4.80 | SKIP 28% | LOST |
| 25.Mar 18:35 | Payload | nicknoonan | - | Alero | - | - | LOST |
| 25.Mar 18:19 | Racing Com | Rylie Morgan | Belmont R3 | Wiluna Lass | 2.90 | SKIP 33% | LOST |
| 25.Mar 18:19 | Sky | Sky Racing - Darren McAullay | Belmont R3 | Wiluna Lass | 2.94 | SKIP 36% | LOST |
| 25.Mar 18:07 | Rated | Betfair Rated Model | Eagle Farm R7 | 10. Quickzou | 3.47 | SKIP 22% | LOST |
| 25.Mar 18:07 | Racing Com | Chris Nelson | Eagle Farm R8 | Subterrain | 7.00 | SKIP 21% | WON |
| 25.Mar 18:00 | SEN | Miles Pfitzner | Sandown R7 | Factcheck | 2.10 | SKIP 22% | LOST |
| 25.Mar 17:53 | Sky | Sky Racing - Matt Robertson | Hobart R8 | Oh No Never Again | 2.30 | SKIP 29% | LOST |
| 25.Mar 17:44 | Racing Com | Rylie Morgan | Belmont R2 | Jolson Al | 3.00 | BET 53% | LOST |
| 25.Mar 17:44 | Sky | Sky Racing - Darren McAullay | Belmont R2 | Jolson Al | 3.15 | SKIP 25% | LOST |
| 25.Mar 17:40 | Racing Com | John Kelton | Strathalbyn R7 | Morlaix | 3.30 | SKIP 44% | LOST |
| 25.Mar 17:36 | Racing Com | Harry White | Canberra R7 | Big Time Charlie | - | SKIP 20% | LOST |
| 25.Mar 17:29 | Racing Com | Chris Nelson | Eagle Farm R7 | Code In Time | 7.00 | SKIP 17% | LOST |
| 25.Mar 17:18 | Sky | Sky Racing - Matt Robertson | Hobart R7 | Into The Harkness | 1.30 | SKIP 34% | WON |
| 25.Mar 17:15 | Rated | Betfair Rated Model | Randwick R7 | 9. Without Peer | 5.63 | - | LOST |
| 25.Mar 17:09 | Sky | Sky Racing - Darren McAullay | Belmont R1 | Mandible Magic | 3.50 | - | LOST |
| 25.Mar 17:09 | Rated | Betfair Rated Model | Belmont R1 | 3. Shes Capitana | 3.45 | - | LOST |
| 25.Mar 17:09 | Rated | Betfair Rated Model | Belmont R1 | 2. Mandible Magic | 4.73 | - | LOST |
| Source | Bets | Record | P/L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bf Rated Model | 55 | 12W-41L | +$18.97 | +34.5% |
| Hub Best Bets | 462 | 146W-304L | -$97.96 | -21.2% |
| Betfair Tips | 988 | 221W-743L | -$186.97 | -18.9% |
Model: logistic_v5 | Training Data: 9,816 samples | L2 Lambda: 0.1 | Calibration: 0 points | Last Retrain: 15 Mar 23:21 AEST
How each feature affects P(win). Bias: -0.932
Green = increases / Red = decreases win probability
| Feature | Weight | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Trainer Edge | +0.348 |
|
| Jockey Edge | +0.290 |
|
| Log Odds | -0.257 |
|
| Odds Bracket Edge | -0.238 |
|
| Implied Prob | +0.174 |
|
| Tipster x Odds | +0.114 |
|
| Is LAY Bet | +0.112 |
|
| Venue Edge | +0.105 |
|
| Consensus 2+ | +0.082 |
|
| Tipster Edge (All) | +0.073 |
|
| Form Score | +0.054 |
|
| Source Edge | +0.050 |
|
| Odds Movement | -0.039 |
|
| Tipster Consensus | +0.039 |
|
| Tipster Volume | +0.034 |
|
| Tipster Edge (30d) | +0.034 |
|
| Recent Form | +0.022 |
|
| Days Since Run | -0.021 |
|
| Horse Age | +0.019 |
|
| Barrier | +0.011 |
|
| Category Edge | -0.007 |
|
Predicted vs actual win rates
| Prob Range | Count | Predicted | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-15% | 1162 | 9% | 19% | +10% |
| 15-25% | 1301 | 21% | 22% | +1% |
| 25-30% | 590 | 27% | 27% | -0% |
| 30-35% | 2757 | 34% | 28% | -6% |
| 35-40% | 2327 | 37% | 32% | -5% |
| 40-50% | 664 | 44% | 33% | -12% |
| 50%+ | 927 | 60% | 42% | -17% |
Last 12 hours and next 12 hours of tips, sorted by event time. Showing: 22 | BET: 3 | SKIP: 19 | Settled: 20 | Avg EV: +0.10 | Accuracy: 65.0% | Brier: 0.237 vs Mkt 0.217 (-0.019)
| Event (AEST) | Tipster | Selection | Odds | EV | Edge | Source | Type | AI Prob | Decision | Top Factor | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar 15:55 | Adam Williams | Guac On | 4.20 | +0.03 | +0.6% | SB | Horse | 24.4% | SKIP | pending | |
| 26 Mar 14:45 | Adam Williams | Run Lucy Run | 1.55 | -0.26 | -16.6% | SB | Horse | 47.9% | SKIP | pending | |
| 25 Mar 20:40 | Sky Racing - Darren McAullay | Eternal Romance | 7.40 | +0.15 | +2.1% | Sky | Horse | 15.6% | SKIP | LOST -$1.00 | |
| 25 Mar 20:40 | Rylie Morgan | Fey King | 4.20 | -0.10 | -2.4% | RC | Horse | 21.4% | SKIP | WON +$3.20 | |
| 25 Mar 20:05 | Rylie Morgan | Rally The Troops | 3.40 | -0.43 | -12.6% | RC | Horse | 16.8% | SKIP | WON +$2.40 | |
| 25 Mar 20:05 | Sky Racing - Darren McAullay | Rally The Troops | 3.90 | -0.32 | -8.2% | Sky | Horse | 17.4% | SKIP | WON +$2.90 | |
| 25 Mar 19:30 | Sky Racing - Darren McAullay | Firearm | 3.75 | +0.02 | +0.6% | Sky | Horse | 27.3% | SKIP | LOST -$1.00 | |
| 25 Mar 19:30 | Rylie Morgan | Dixie Doo | 6.00 | +1.34 | +22.3% | RC | Horse | 39.0% | BET | WON +$5.00 | |
| 25 Mar 18:55 | Rylie Morgan | Truly Gallant | 4.80 | +0.33 | +6.8% | RC | Horse | 27.6% | SKIP | LOST -$1.00 | |
| 25 Mar 18:55 | Sky Racing - Darren McAullay | Truly Gallant | 5.00 | +0.72 | +14.4% | Sky | Horse | 34.4% | BET | LOST -$1.00 | |
| 25 Mar 18:19 | Sky Racing - Darren McAullay | Wiluna Lass | 2.94 | +0.07 | +2.5% | Sky | Horse | 36.5% | SKIP | LOST -$1.00 | |
| 25 Mar 18:19 | Rylie Morgan | Wiluna Lass | 2.90 | -0.06 | -1.9% | RC | Horse | 32.6% | SKIP | LOST -$1.00 | |
| 25 Mar 18:07 | Betfair Rated Model | 10. Quickzou | 3.47 | -0.24 | -6.8% | BF | Horse | 22.0% | SKIP | LOST -$1.00 | |
| 25 Mar 18:07 | Chris Nelson | Subterrain | 7.00 | +0.49 | +7.0% | RC | Horse | 21.3% | SKIP | WON +$6.00 | |
| 25 Mar 18:00 | Miles Pfitzner | Factcheck | 2.10 | -0.53 | -25.4% | SEN | Horse | 22.2% | SKIP | LOST -$1.00 | |
| 25 Mar 17:53 | Sky Racing - Matt Robertson | Oh No Never Again | 2.30 | -0.33 | -14.3% | Sky | Harness | 29.2% | SKIP | LOST -$1.00 | |
| 25 Mar 17:44 | Rylie Morgan | Jolson Al | 3.00 | +0.59 | +19.6% | RC | Horse | 52.9% | BET | LOST -$1.00 | |
| 25 Mar 17:44 | Sky Racing - Darren McAullay | Jolson Al | 3.15 | -0.22 | -7.0% | Sky | Horse | 24.8% | SKIP | LOST -$1.00 | |
| 25 Mar 17:40 | John Kelton | Morlaix | 3.30 | +0.45 | +13.7% | RC | Horse | 44.0% | SKIP | LOST -$1.00 | |
| 25 Mar 17:36 | Harry White | NO BF Big Time Charlie | - | +0.87 | +9.4% | RC | Horse | 20.3% | SKIP | LOST -$1.00 | |
| 25 Mar 17:29 | Chris Nelson | Code In Time | 7.00 | +0.16 | +2.2% | RC | Horse | 16.5% | SKIP | LOST -$1.00 | |
| 25 Mar 17:18 | Sky Racing - Matt Robertson | Into The Harkness | 1.30 | -0.55 | -42.5% | Sky | Harness | 34.4% | SKIP | WON +$0.30 |
Solid = v4+ (Platt, threshold 0.50), Dashed = v3 (Platt, threshold 0.30). Running total of hypothetical $1 P/L for BET vs SKIP picks (last 30 days).
Green solid = actual cumulative P/L from v4 BET picks. Cyan dashed = cumulative expected value (model prediction). Dashed projection = 30-day forecast based on recent trend. Shaded band = 95% confidence interval.
Actual ROI grouped by predicted EV. Blue = v3, Green = v4+ (current: logistic_v5).
How far off each model's predicted probability is from reality. Bars closer to zero = better calibrated. Positive = overconfident (predicted higher than actual win rate).
How well the model's predictions match reality for BET decisions (EV ≥ 0.50). The overall average hides the problem — overconfidence is worst at high predicted probabilities where bets happen.
Predicted probability vs actual win rate for recent v4+ decisions only. Green bars = well calibrated, red bars = overconfident.
The AI betting agent uses an L2-regularised logistic regression model (logistic_v5) trained on historical expert tip outcomes. Calibrated with Platt scaling, EV threshold 0.50, max odds 10.0. It analyses each new tip in real time, predicting the probability of winning, and recommends BET or SKIP based on expected value.
| # | Feature | Type | What It Measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | log_odds | Odds | Natural logarithm of the decimal odds. Normalises the wide odds range (1.5 to 50+) into a compressed scale so the model treats short and long prices proportionally. |
| 2 | implied_prob | Odds | Break-even probability derived from odds (1/odds). At $3.00 odds, you need to win 33% of the time to break even. This is the baseline the model tries to beat. |
| 3 | tipster_edge_30d | Edge | Tipster's recent 30-day edge: (actual win rate) minus (average implied probability). Positive means the tipster is beating the market recently. Shrunk toward zero when sample size is under 30 tips. |
| 4 | tipster_edge_all | Edge | Tipster's all-time edge across their full history. More stable than 30d but slower to react to form changes. Also shrunk toward zero with small samples. |
| 5 | tipster_volume | Edge | Log of the tipster's total bet count. More data means the tipster's edge measurement is more reliable. Acts as an implicit confidence signal. |
| 6 | source_edge | Edge | Edge of the data source (Betfair, Hub, SEN, Sky Racing, Sportsbet, Racing.com). Measures whether tips from a particular platform systematically outperform or underperform the market. |
| 7 | category_edge | Edge | Edge for the sport/category (horse racing, harness, greyhounds, AFL, etc.). Some sports may be more predictable by experts than others. |
| 8 | odds_bracket_edge | Edge | Edge for the odds range: short (<2.0), mid (2-3.5), midlong (3.5-6), long (6-10), very long (10+). Captures whether experts are better at picking favourites vs long shots. |
| 9 | tipster_x_odds_edge | Interaction | Interaction between tipster and odds bracket. A tipster might be excellent at picking short-priced winners but poor at long shots (or vice versa). This feature captures that specialisation. |
| 10 | venue_edge | Racing | Edge for the race venue (Flemington, Randwick, etc.). Some tracks have structural biases that expert tipsters exploit better than others. Zero for non-racing or unknown venues. |
| 11 | jockey_edge | Racing | Jockey profitability edge. Some jockeys consistently win more often than their odds suggest. Measures if the jockey adds value beyond market expectations. Zero if jockey data unavailable. |
| 12 | trainer_edge | Racing | Trainer profitability edge. Captures whether a trainer's horses outperform or underperform their market odds. Shrunk toward zero with limited data. |
| 13 | tipster_recent_form | Momentum | Recent 14-day win rate minus all-time win rate. Positive = tipster is on a hot streak. Negative = cold streak. Requires at least 3 recent tips to compute, otherwise zero. |
| 14 | tipster_consensus | Signal | Log of distinct tipsters who picked the same market+selection. More consensus = stronger signal. Built from all historical tips. |
| 15 | odds_movement | Market | Difference between Betfair exchange odds and tip source odds, as a fraction. Positive = price drifting (less backed). Available for ~29% of tips. |
| 16 | is_lay | v7 | 1 if the tip is a LAY bet, 0 for BACK. LAY bets have inverted P/L (small wins, large losses). The model learned LAY bets at long odds are unprofitable. |
| 17 | consensus_2plus | v7 | Binary: 1 if 2+ tipsters picked the same selection, 0 otherwise. Data shows consensus picks lose only -3% ROI vs -16.5% for solo picks. |
| 18 | form_score | Racing | Parsed from the horse's recent form string (e.g. "548141"). Weighted average of finishing positions (recent results weighted more). Higher = better form. Zero if no form data. |
| 19 | barrier | Racing | Starting barrier position (stall draw). Inside barriers tend to have an advantage on tight tracks. Zero if not available (~85% of tips). |
| 20 | days_since_run | Racing | Days since the horse last raced. Rest period affects fitness/freshness. The model learned a small negative weight (-0.021) suggesting longer rest is slightly worse. |
| 21 | horse_age | Racing | Horse age in years. Performance varies by age — younger horses may be improving, older horses declining. Zero if not available. |