| Time | Tipster | Selection | Odds | Stake |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14T05:05 | Stats Insider | 4. Tentyris | 3.05 | $1.00 |
| 2026-02-14T00:35 | Tony Kneebone | Tentyris | 2.74 | $1.00 |
| 2026-02-11T06:35 | Ace Previews | Aleksandar Vukic | 2.96 | $1.00 |
| 2026-02-10T10:05 | Ace Previews | Zizou Bergs | 2.10 | $1.00 |
| 2026-01-30T01:35 | Cam Luke | Extraglow | 2.00 | $1.00 |
| 2026-01-30T01:35 | Cam Luke | Shaddap | 3.25 | $1.00 |
| 2025-12-29T06:35 | Michael Tye | 3. Irish Zoe | 3.00 | $1.00 |
| 2025-12-24T05:35 | Betfair Rated Model | 6. Booya Boy | 9.40 | $1.00 |
| 2025-12-24T04:35 | Mitch Lewis | 6. Associate | 2.00 | $1.00 |
| 2025-12-23T23:05 | The Leg Up | 2. The Hamo | 2.98 | $1.00 |
Note: Lapsed bets occur when the odds move before your bet is matched. Also showing 9 void bets (scratched horses, cancelled events).
| Time (AEST) | Source | Tipster | Event | Selection | Odds | AI | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.Feb 03:44* | Sportsbet | Dean Watling | Scone Rsl Country ... | Are You Kidding | 1.50 | SKIP 60% | TRACK |
| 24.Feb 02:14* | Sportsbet | Dean Watling | Kia Ora Country Bo... | Olympian | 2.20 | SKIP 45% | TRACK |
| 23.Feb 21:54* | Hub | Betfair Cricket Trader | England v Pakistan | Pakistan | 2.34 | - | TRACK |
| 23.Feb 13:08* | Ladbrokes Blog | Jared Timms | Caulfield R9 | Oak Hill | - | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 23.Feb 13:08* | Ladbrokes Blog | Jared Timms | Caulfield R7 | Treasurethe Moment | - | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 23.Feb 13:08* | Ladbrokes Blog | Jared Timms | Rosehill R6 | Confederation | - | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 23.Feb 13:08* | Ladbrokes Blog | Jared Timms | Caulfield R6 | Damask Rose | - | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 23.Feb 11:26* | Racing Com | Rebecca Hill | Picklebet Park War... | Sukhbir | 7.50 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 23.Feb 11:26* | Racing Com | Rebecca Hill | Picklebet Park War... | Mr Playtime | 2.90 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 23.Feb 11:26* | Racing Com | Rebecca Hill | Picklebet Park War... | Sweet Hesitation | 1.50 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 23.Feb 11:26* | Racing Com | Rebecca Hill | Picklebet Park War... | Bole Le | 4.00 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 23.Feb 11:26* | Racing Com | Rebecca Hill | Picklebet Park War... | Yes Donald Yes | 1.60 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 23.Feb 11:26* | Racing Com | Rebecca Hill | Picklebet Park War... | Meltdown | 3.70 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 23.Feb 11:26* | Racing Com | Rebecca Hill | Picklebet Park War... | Simba's Pride | 3.60 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 23.Feb 11:07* | Ladbrokes Blog | Jared Timms | Hawkesbury R6 | Shelstein | - | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 23.Feb 11:07* | Ladbrokes Blog | Jared Timms | Hawkesbury R4 | Kokatahi | - | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 23.Feb 11:07* | Ladbrokes Blog | Jared Timms | Hawkesbury R2 | Balmain Darling | - | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 23.Feb 11:07* | Ladbrokes Blog | Jared Timms | Hawkesbury R1 | Texas | - | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 23.Feb 09:44* | Sportsbet | Dean Watling | Kia Ora Country Bo... | Olympian | 2.45 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 23.Feb 09:44* | Sportsbet | Dean Watling | Scone Rsl Country ... | Are You Kidding | 1.55 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 19:14* | Sportsbet | Howard Walter | RNone None | More For Ready | 2.70 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 12:34* | Sky | Sky Racing - Darren McAullay | PINJARRA R1 | She's Hot | - | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 16:26* | Racing Com | Darren McAullay | Pinjarra Scarpside... | Nature's Reckoning | 2.50 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 15:44* | Sportsbet | Howard Walter | RNone None | Redford | 3.40 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 15:26* | Racing Com | Rylie Morgan | Pinjarra Scarpside... | Nature's Reckoning | 3.10 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 13:56* | Racing Com | Rylie Morgan | Pinjarra Scarpside... | She's Hot | 2.05 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 13:56* | Racing Com | Rylie Morgan | Pinjarra Scarpside... | Azabelle | 5.50 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 13:56* | Racing Com | Rylie Morgan | Pinjarra Scarpside... | State Of Boom | 2.40 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 13:56* | Racing Com | Rylie Morgan | Pinjarra Scarpside... | Gangster Goddess | 2.45 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 13:56* | Racing Com | Rylie Morgan | Pinjarra Scarpside... | Wahoochino | 3.30 | - | NO BF TRACK |
Record: 4W-10L | P/L: +$3.44
| Time | Src | Tipster | Event | Selection | Odds | Stake | Result | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb 20:05 | Hub | Michael Tye | Sandown Park | 1. Gorringe | 2.34 | $1.00 | WON | +$1.34 |
| 23 Feb 18:35 | Hub | Ace Previews | Echargui v Mpetshi Perric... | Moez Echargui | 5.00 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 23 Feb 17:05 | Hub | Michael Tye | Sandown Park | 3. Infra Rock | 4.30 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 23 Feb 15:05 | BF | Harry White | YACKANDANDAH PARK BENCHMA... | Jesters Award | 7.00 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 23 Feb 15:05 | BF | Dean Watling | Tamworth (AUS) 23rd Feb | Voracious | 5.30 | $1.00 | WON | +$4.30 |
| 23 Feb 15:05 | Hub | Scott Hill | Pinjarra | 4. Cinch | 3.55 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 23 Feb 14:35 | Hub | Scott Hill | Pinjarra | 1. Damage Done | 3.75 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 23 Feb 11:35 | BF | Betfair Rated M... | TAMWORTH R1 1000m 2yo | 2. Blocker | 8.00 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 23 Feb 10:05 | Hub | Stats Insider | Charlotte Hornets @ Washi... | Washington Wizards | 5.10 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 23 Feb 10:05 | Hub | Stats Insider | Philadelphia 76ers @ Minn... | Philadelphia 76ers | 4.10 | $1.00 | WON | +$3.10 |
| 23 Feb 10:05 | Hub | Stats Insider | New York Knicks @ Chicago... | Chicago Bulls | 4.80 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 23 Feb 09:35 | BF | Dean Watling | Warwick (AUS) 23rd Feb | Mr Playtime | 2.88 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 23 Feb 08:05 | BF | Dean Watling | Warwick (AUS) 23rd Feb | More For Ready | 2.56 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 23 Feb 08:05 | BF | Sky Racing - Ro... | Tamworth (AUS) 23rd Feb | Voracious | 5.70 | $1.00 | WON | +$4.70 |
Record: 3W-17L | P/L: -$5.50
| Time | Src | Tipster | Event | Selection | Odds | Stake | Result | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb 16:35 | BF | Brent Zerafa | Ladbrokes Hosted Pots BM5... | Little Bighorn | 4.60 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 22 Feb 16:35 | BF | Edward Sadler | Ladbrokes Hosted Pots BM5... | Prancing Queen | 7.00 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 22 Feb 16:35 | BF | Stats Insider | Balaklava | 2. Duo Perna | 6.20 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 22 Feb 16:05 | BF | Brent Zerafa | LV Drafting BM56 Handica... | Bearbrassblackfish | 3.95 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 22 Feb 15:05 | BF | Stats Insider | Carrick | 7. Can Feel The Fury | 6.60 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 22 Feb 14:36 | BF | Tim Edwards | Coopers Brewery Rating 0 ... | Taking Omaha | 2.64 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 22 Feb 14:36 | BF | Harry White | EVERGREEN TURF MNCRA COUN... | Pony Soprano | 5.70 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 22 Feb 14:35 | BF | Sky Racing - Ga... | Port Macquarie (AUS) 22nd... | Amarone | 6.20 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 22 Feb 14:35 | BF | Brent Zerafa | John Kerr Real Estate BM5... | Avenues | 4.40 | $1.00 | WON | +$3.40 |
| 22 Feb 14:35 | BF | Rebecca Hill | Wade Clark Plastering BM6... | Medical Autocrat | 8.40 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 22 Feb 14:35 | BF | Rebecca Hill | Veterans Wellbeing Founda... | Battleton | 9.60 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 22 Feb 14:35 | BF | Rebecca Hill | TAB 0 - 60 Handicap | Smudged | 4.70 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 22 Feb 14:35 | BF | Stats Insider | Carrick | 4. Rainbow Ranger | 8.00 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 22 Feb 14:35 | BF | Daniel Nuttall | Taylors Wines Maiden Plat... | Leliyn | 10.00 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 22 Feb 14:35 | BF | Dean Watling | Sunshine Coast (AUS) 22nd... | Poutchek | 4.60 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 21 Feb 17:36 | BF | Stats Insider | Caulfield | 1. Harrys Yacht | 4.90 | $1.00 | WON | +$3.90 |
| 21 Feb 15:05 | BF | Stats Insider | Caulfield | 9. Bossy Benita | 5.20 | $1.00 | WON | +$4.20 |
| 21 Feb 15:05 | BF | Stats Insider | Rosehill | 2. Hidrix | 4.10 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 21 Feb 14:35 | BF | Stats Insider | Morphettville | 1. Ronny Bee | 1.91 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 21 Feb 14:35 | BF | Stats Insider | Caulfield | 5. Damask Rose | 2.98 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| Time (AEST) | Source | Tipster | Event | Selection | Odds | AI | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.Feb 20:54* | Hub | Ace Previews | Halys v Ja Draper | Ja Draper | - | SKIP 40% | WON |
| 23.Feb 20:54* | Hub | Michael Tye | Sandown Park | 1. Tickets | 4.60 | BET 34% | WON |
| 23.Feb 19:54* | Hub | Michael Tye | Sandown Park | 1. Gorringe | 2.34 | BET 58% | WON |
| 23.Feb 19:54* | Hub | Michael Tye | Sandown Park | 2. Fractions | 1.82 | SKIP 59% | LOST |
| 23.Feb 18:24* | Hub | Ace Previews | Echargui v Mpetshi... | Moez Echargui | 4.70 | BET 25% | LOST |
| 23.Feb 18:24* | Hub | Michael Tye | Sandown Park | 7. Wizard Watson | 5.00 | BET 60% | WON |
| 23.Feb 17:54* | Hub | Scott Hill | Pinjarra | 5. Turbo Jay | 6.80 | BET 31% | LOST |
| 23.Feb 16:54* | Hub | Michael Tye | Sandown Park | 3. Infra Rock | 4.30 | BET 35% | LOST |
| Source | Bets | Record | P/L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bf Rated Model | 55 | 12W-41L | +$18.97 | +34.5% |
| Hub Best Bets | 413 | 136W-268L | -$87.53 | -21.2% |
| Betfair Tips | 628 | 165W-447L | -$132.89 | -21.2% |
Model: logistic_v3 | Training Data: 7,102 samples | L2 Lambda: 0.01 | Calibration: 0 points | Last Retrain: 23 Feb 17:09 AEST
How each feature affects P(win). Bias: -1.000
Green = increases / Red = decreases win probability
| Feature | Weight | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Trainer Edge | +0.503 |
|
| Tipster x Odds | +0.471 |
|
| Jockey Edge | +0.404 |
|
| Odds Bracket Edge | -0.374 |
|
| Implied Prob | +0.301 |
|
| Log Odds | -0.227 |
|
| Venue Edge | +0.185 |
|
| Tipster Volume | +0.120 |
|
| Category Edge | -0.114 |
|
| Tipster Edge (All) | +0.043 |
|
| Tipster Edge (30d) | +0.025 |
|
| Source Edge | -0.020 |
|
| Recent Form | +0.007 |
|
Predicted vs actual win rates
| Prob Range | Count | Predicted | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-30% | 1461 | 19% | 23% | +4% |
| 30-50% | 5116 | 36% | 33% | -3% |
| 50-70% | 466 | 60% | 45% | -15% |
| 70-100% | 46 | 71% | 52% | -18% |
Last 12 hours and next 12 hours of tips, sorted by event time. Showing: 11 | BET: 6 | SKIP: 5 | Settled: 8 | Avg EV: +0.46 | Accuracy: 50.0% | Brier: 0.221 vs Mkt 0.263 (+0.042)
| Event (AEST) | Tipster | Selection | Odds | EV | Edge | Source | Type | AI Prob | Decision | Top Factor | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb 15:25 | Dean Watling | Are You Kidding | 1.50 | -0.10 | -6.7% | SB | Other | 60.0% | SKIP | pending | |
| 24 Feb 14:10 | Dean Watling | Olympian | 2.20 | -0.00 | -0.2% | SB | Other | 45.3% | SKIP | pending | |
| 24 Feb 07:00 | Tony Hargraves | Man Utd | 2.00 | -0.33 | -16.3% | Hub | Other | 33.7% | SKIP | pending | |
| 24 Feb 03:10 | Ace Previews | NO BF Ja Draper | - | -0.21 | -10.4% | Hub | Other | 39.6% | SKIP | WON +$1.00 | |
| 23 Feb 22:28 | Michael Tye | 1. Tickets | 5.40 | +0.83 | +15.3% | Hub | Other | 33.8% | BET | WON +$0.28 | |
| 23 Feb 22:08 | Michael Tye | 1. Gorringe | 2.34 | +0.35 | +15.1% | Hub | Other | 57.8% | BET | WON +$1.34 | |
| 23 Feb 21:28 | Michael Tye | 2. Fractions | 1.82 | +0.08 | +4.2% | Hub | Other | 59.2% | SKIP | LOST -$1.00 | |
| 23 Feb 21:00 | Ace Previews | Moez Echargui | 5.00 | +0.27 | +5.3% | Hub | Other | 25.3% | BET | LOST -$1.00 | |
| 23 Feb 20:46 | Michael Tye | 7. Wizard Watson | 6.00 | +2.60 | +43.3% | Hub | Other | 60.0% | BET | WON +$0.25 | |
| 23 Feb 20:32 | Scott Hill | 5. Turbo Jay | 6.80 | +1.09 | +16.0% | Hub | Other | 30.7% | BET | LOST -$1.00 | |
| 23 Feb 20:24 | Michael Tye | 3. Infra Rock | 4.30 | +0.50 | +11.6% | Hub | Other | 34.9% | BET | LOST -$1.00 |