| Time | Tipster | Selection | Odds | Stake |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14T05:05 | Stats Insider | 4. Tentyris | 3.05 | $1.00 |
| 2026-02-14T00:35 | Tony Kneebone | Tentyris | 2.74 | $1.00 |
| 2026-02-11T06:35 | Ace Previews | Aleksandar Vukic | 2.96 | $1.00 |
| 2026-02-10T10:05 | Ace Previews | Zizou Bergs | 2.10 | $1.00 |
| 2026-01-30T01:35 | Cam Luke | Extraglow | 2.00 | $1.00 |
| 2026-01-30T01:35 | Cam Luke | Shaddap | 3.25 | $1.00 |
| 2025-12-29T06:35 | Michael Tye | 3. Irish Zoe | 3.00 | $1.00 |
| 2025-12-24T05:35 | Betfair Rated Model | 6. Booya Boy | 9.40 | $1.00 |
| 2025-12-24T04:35 | Mitch Lewis | 6. Associate | 2.00 | $1.00 |
| 2025-12-23T23:05 | The Leg Up | 2. The Hamo | 2.98 | $1.00 |
Note: Lapsed bets occur when the odds move before your bet is matched. Also showing 9 void bets (scratched horses, cancelled events).
| Time (AEST) | Source | Tipster | Event | Selection | Odds | AI | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.Feb 06:14* | Sportsbet | Howard Walter | Warwick (AUS) 23rd... | More For Ready | 2.70 | BET 47% | TRACK |
| 22.Feb 19:14* | Sportsbet | Howard Walter | RNone None | More For Ready | 2.70 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 12:34* | Sky | Sky Racing - Darren McAullay | PINJARRA R1 | She's Hot | - | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 16:26* | Racing Com | Darren McAullay | Pinjarra Scarpside... | Nature's Reckoning | 2.50 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 15:44* | Sportsbet | Howard Walter | RNone None | Redford | 3.40 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 15:26* | Racing Com | Rylie Morgan | Pinjarra Scarpside... | Nature's Reckoning | 3.10 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 13:56* | Racing Com | Rylie Morgan | Pinjarra Scarpside... | She's Hot | 2.05 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 13:56* | Racing Com | Rylie Morgan | Pinjarra Scarpside... | Azabelle | 5.50 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 13:56* | Racing Com | Rylie Morgan | Pinjarra Scarpside... | State Of Boom | 2.40 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 13:56* | Racing Com | Rylie Morgan | Pinjarra Scarpside... | Gangster Goddess | 2.45 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 13:56* | Racing Com | Rylie Morgan | Pinjarra Scarpside... | Wahoochino | 3.30 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 13:56* | Racing Com | Rylie Morgan | Pinjarra Scarpside... | Defending | 2.40 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 13:56* | Racing Com | Rylie Morgan | Pinjarra Scarpside... | Talkanco | 2.40 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 13:56* | Racing Com | Rylie Morgan | Pinjarra Scarpside... | Desert Waves | 2.45 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 13:56* | Racing Com | Rylie Morgan | Pinjarra Scarpside... | Batista | 4.80 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 13:26* | Racing Com | Scott Embry | Pinjarra Scarpside... | Defending | 2.50 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 13:26* | Racing Com | Scott Embry | Pinjarra Scarpside... | Talkanco | 2.40 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 13:26* | Racing Com | Scott Embry | Pinjarra Scarpside... | Gangster Goddess | 2.45 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 13:26* | Racing Com | Scott Embry | Pinjarra Scarpside... | Wahoochino | 3.30 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 13:26* | Racing Com | Scott Embry | Pinjarra Scarpside... | State Of Boom | 2.40 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 13:26* | Racing Com | Scott Embry | Pinjarra Scarpside... | Azabelle | 5.50 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 13:26* | Racing Com | Scott Embry | Pinjarra Scarpside... | Batista | 4.80 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 13:26* | Racing Com | Scott Embry | Pinjarra Scarpside... | Desert Waves | 2.45 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 12:56* | Racing Com | Darren McAullay | Pinjarra Scarpside... | Desert Waves | 2.45 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 12:56* | Racing Com | Darren McAullay | Pinjarra Scarpside... | Wynn Las Vegas | 2.30 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 12:56* | Racing Com | Darren McAullay | Pinjarra Scarpside... | Come On Emma | 5.50 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 12:56* | Racing Com | Darren McAullay | Pinjarra Scarpside... | Elite Missile | 3.70 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 12:56* | Racing Com | Darren McAullay | Pinjarra Scarpside... | She's Hot | 2.00 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 12:56* | Racing Com | Darren McAullay | Pinjarra Scarpside... | Wahoochino | 3.10 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 22.Feb 12:56* | Racing Com | Darren McAullay | Pinjarra Scarpside... | Arctic Snow | 6.00 | - | NO BF TRACK |
Record: 1W-14L | P/L: -$10.60
| Time | Src | Tipster | Event | Selection | Odds | Stake | Result | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb 16:35 | BF | Brent Zerafa | Ladbrokes Hosted Pots BM5... | Little Bighorn | 4.60 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 22 Feb 16:35 | BF | Edward Sadler | Ladbrokes Hosted Pots BM5... | Prancing Queen | 7.00 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 22 Feb 16:35 | BF | Stats Insider | Balaklava | 2. Duo Perna | 6.20 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 22 Feb 16:05 | BF | Brent Zerafa | LV Drafting BM56 Handica... | Bearbrassblackfish | 3.95 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 22 Feb 15:05 | BF | Stats Insider | Carrick | 7. Can Feel The Fury | 6.60 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 22 Feb 14:36 | BF | Tim Edwards | Coopers Brewery Rating 0 ... | Taking Omaha | 2.64 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 22 Feb 14:36 | BF | Harry White | EVERGREEN TURF MNCRA COUN... | Pony Soprano | 5.70 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 22 Feb 14:35 | BF | Sky Racing - Ga... | Port Macquarie (AUS) 22nd... | Amarone | 6.20 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 22 Feb 14:35 | BF | Brent Zerafa | John Kerr Real Estate BM5... | Avenues | 4.40 | $1.00 | WON | +$3.40 |
| 22 Feb 14:35 | BF | Rebecca Hill | Wade Clark Plastering BM6... | Medical Autocrat | 8.40 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 22 Feb 14:35 | BF | Rebecca Hill | Veterans Wellbeing Founda... | Battleton | 9.60 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 22 Feb 14:35 | BF | Rebecca Hill | TAB 0 - 60 Handicap | Smudged | 4.70 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 22 Feb 14:35 | BF | Stats Insider | Carrick | 4. Rainbow Ranger | 8.00 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 22 Feb 14:35 | BF | Daniel Nuttall | Taylors Wines Maiden Plat... | Leliyn | 10.00 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 22 Feb 14:35 | BF | Dean Watling | Sunshine Coast (AUS) 22nd... | Poutchek | 4.60 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
Record: 3W-8L | P/L: +$5.00
| Time | Src | Tipster | Event | Selection | Odds | Stake | Result | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 17:36 | BF | Stats Insider | Caulfield | 1. Harrys Yacht | 4.90 | $1.00 | WON | +$3.90 |
| 21 Feb 15:05 | BF | Stats Insider | Caulfield | 9. Bossy Benita | 5.20 | $1.00 | WON | +$4.20 |
| 21 Feb 15:05 | BF | Stats Insider | Rosehill | 2. Hidrix | 4.10 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 21 Feb 14:35 | BF | Stats Insider | Morphettville | 1. Ronny Bee | 1.91 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 21 Feb 14:35 | BF | Stats Insider | Caulfield | 5. Damask Rose | 2.98 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 21 Feb 03:35 | BF | Stats Insider | Caulfield | 4. Taken | 2.78 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 21 Feb 00:05 | BF | Stats Insider | Rosehill | 3. Iceman | 4.00 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 20 Feb 23:35 | BF | Stats Insider | Caulfield | 2. Gracies Rain | 5.80 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 20 Feb 23:35 | BF | Stats Insider | Caulfield | 11. Verdoux | 5.90 | $1.00 | WON | +$4.90 |
| 20 Feb 20:05 | BF | Stats Insider | Cranbourne | 4. Snapshot | 4.20 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 20 Feb 15:35 | BF | Glenn Ingram | Snapshot | 3.95 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| Time (AEST) | Source | Tipster | Event | Selection | Odds | AI | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.Feb 20:25 | Sky | Sky Racing - Darren McAullay | PINJARRA R9 | Defending | 2.50 | SKIP 35% | LOST |
| 22.Feb 19:54* | Hub | Stats Insider | Cleveland Cavalier... | Oklahoma City Thunder | 2.48 | SKIP 48% | WON |
| 22.Feb 19:50 | Sky | Sky Racing - Darren McAullay | PINJARRA R8 | Elite Missile | 3.80 | - | LOST |
| 22.Feb 18:24* | Hub | Betfair Cricket Trader | India v South Afri... | South Africa | 3.00 | SKIP 37% | WON |
| 22.Feb 06:54* | Hub | Tony Hargraves | Tottenham v Arsena... | Under 2.5 Goals | 2.12 | SKIP 33% | LOST |
| 22.Feb 04:24* | Hub | Tony Hargraves | Crystal Palace v W... | Crystal Palace | 1.73 | SKIP 36% | LOST |
| 22.Feb 04:24* | Hub | Tony Hargraves | Nottm Forest v Liv... | Liverpool | 1.89 | SKIP 34% | WON |
| 22.Feb 03:54* | Hub | Tony Hargraves | Sunderland v Fulha... | Sunderland | 2.80 | SKIP 28% | LOST |
| Source | Bets | Record | P/L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bf Rated Model | 55 | 12W-41L | +$18.97 | +34.5% |
| Hub Best Bets | 405 | 134W-262L | -$85.97 | -21.2% |
| Betfair Tips | 622 | 163W-443L | -$137.89 | -22.2% |
Model: logistic_v3 | Training Data: 7,052 samples | L2 Lambda: 0.01 | Calibration: 0 points | Last Retrain: 22 Feb 18:59 AEST
How each feature affects P(win). Bias: -1.006
Green = increases / Red = decreases win probability
| Feature | Weight | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Trainer Edge | +0.501 |
|
| Tipster x Odds | +0.475 |
|
| Jockey Edge | +0.405 |
|
| Odds Bracket Edge | -0.369 |
|
| Implied Prob | +0.299 |
|
| Log Odds | -0.229 |
|
| Venue Edge | +0.182 |
|
| Tipster Volume | +0.120 |
|
| Category Edge | -0.114 |
|
| Tipster Edge (All) | +0.043 |
|
| Tipster Edge (30d) | +0.023 |
|
| Source Edge | -0.021 |
|
| Recent Form | +0.012 |
|
Predicted vs actual win rates
| Prob Range | Count | Predicted | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-30% | 1438 | 19% | 23% | +4% |
| 30-50% | 5098 | 36% | 33% | -3% |
| 50-70% | 450 | 60% | 44% | -16% |
| 70-100% | 46 | 71% | 52% | -18% |
Last 12 hours and next 12 hours of tips, sorted by event time. Showing: 8 | BET: 1 | SKIP: 7 | Settled: 7 | Avg EV: -0.10 | Accuracy: 57.1% | Brier: 0.221 vs Mkt 0.267 (+0.046)
| Event (AEST) | Tipster | Selection | Odds | EV | Edge | Source | Type | AI Prob | Decision | Top Factor | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb 17:58 | Howard Walter | More For Ready | 2.70 | +0.27 | +9.9% | SB | Other | 47.0% | BET | pending | |
| 23 Feb 05:10 | Stats Insider | Oklahoma City Thunder | 2.48 | +0.20 | +8.0% | Hub | Other | 48.3% | SKIP | WON +$1.48 | |
| 23 Feb 03:30 | Tony Hargraves | Under 2.5 Goals | 2.12 | -0.30 | -14.0% | Hub | Other | 33.2% | SKIP | LOST -$1.00 | |
| 23 Feb 01:00 | Tony Hargraves | Crystal Palace | 1.73 | -0.38 | -21.8% | Hub | Other | 36.0% | SKIP | LOST -$1.00 | |
| 23 Feb 01:00 | Tony Hargraves | Sunderland | 2.80 | -0.22 | -7.9% | Hub | Other | 27.8% | SKIP | LOST -$1.00 | |
| 23 Feb 01:00 | Tony Hargraves | Liverpool | 1.89 | -0.36 | -19.0% | Hub | Other | 33.9% | SKIP | WON +$0.89 | |
| 23 Feb 00:30 | Betfair Cricket Trader | South Africa | 3.00 | +0.10 | +3.2% | Hub | Other | 36.6% | SKIP | WON +$2.00 | |
| 22 Feb 20:25 | Sky Racing - Darren McAullay | Defending | 2.50 | -0.13 | -5.2% | Sky | Horse | 34.8% | SKIP | LOST -$1.00 |