| Time | Tipster | Selection | Odds | Stake |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14T05:05 | Stats Insider | 4. Tentyris | 3.05 | $1.00 |
| 2026-02-14T00:35 | Tony Kneebone | Tentyris | 2.74 | $1.00 |
| 2026-02-11T06:35 | Ace Previews | Aleksandar Vukic | 2.96 | $1.00 |
| 2026-02-10T10:05 | Ace Previews | Zizou Bergs | 2.10 | $1.00 |
| 2026-01-30T01:35 | Cam Luke | Extraglow | 2.00 | $1.00 |
| 2026-01-30T01:35 | Cam Luke | Shaddap | 3.25 | $1.00 |
| 2025-12-29T06:35 | Michael Tye | 3. Irish Zoe | 3.00 | $1.00 |
| 2025-12-24T05:35 | Betfair Rated Model | 6. Booya Boy | 9.40 | $1.00 |
| 2025-12-24T04:35 | Mitch Lewis | 6. Associate | 2.00 | $1.00 |
| 2025-12-23T23:05 | The Leg Up | 2. The Hamo | 2.98 | $1.00 |
Note: Lapsed bets occur when the odds move before your bet is matched. Also showing 9 void bets (scratched horses, cancelled events).
| Time (AEST) | Source | Tipster | Event | Selection | Odds | AI | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.Feb 13:30 | Ladbrokes Blog | Jared Timms | Werribee R1 | Phoenician | 2.30 | SKIP 24% | TRACK |
| 17.Feb 15:00 | Ladbrokes Blog | Jared Timms | Werribee R4 | Sealand | 4.50 | SKIP 26% | TRACK |
| 17.Feb 15:30 | Ladbrokes Blog | Jared Timms | Werribee R5 | Ellsworth | 5.20 | SKIP 24% | TRACK |
| 17.Feb 17:00 | Ladbrokes Blog | Jared Timms | Werribee R8 | Algadon Storm | 5.00 | SKIP 25% | TRACK |
| 17.Feb 03:14* | Sportsbet | Kevin Casey | The Man Walk Austr... | Chispa | 3.00 | SKIP 38% | TRACK |
| 17.Feb 02:44* | Sportsbet | Kevin Casey | Flicket Ticketing ... | Barrengarry | 13.00 | BET 16% | TRACK |
| 17.Feb 00:14* | Sportsbet | Kevin Casey | Flicket Ticketing ... | Barrengarry | 13.00 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 17.Feb 00:14* | Sportsbet | Kevin Casey | The Man Walk Austr... | Chispa | 3.00 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 16.Feb 17:14* | Sportsbet | Howard Walter | Great Northern R1 | Replace The Ace | 4.40 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 16.Feb 17:14* | Sportsbet | Howard Walter | Milner Constructio... | Ceekay's Choice | 3.60 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 16.Feb 11:38* | SEN | Glen Moore | Pinjarra R5 | Whos The Dad | 1.50 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 16.Feb 11:38* | SEN | Glen Moore | Pinjarra R4 | Trunkey Carrawa | 1.75 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 16.Feb 11:38* | SEN | Glen Moore | Pinjarra R3 | Hotfoot It | 2.90 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 16.Feb 11:38* | SEN | Glen Moore | Pinjarra R2 | Proposition Joe | 1.55 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 16.Feb 11:26* | Racing Com | Harry White | Beaumont Newcastle... | Girls Weekend | - | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 16.Feb 11:26* | Racing Com | Harry White | Beaumont Newcastle... | Artie's Magic | - | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 16.Feb 11:26* | Racing Com | Harry White | Beaumont Newcastle... | Mirai San | - | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 16.Feb 11:26* | Racing Com | Harry White | Beaumont Newcastle... | Stormzino | - | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 16.Feb 11:26* | Racing Com | Harry White | Beaumont Newcastle... | Smart Cry | - | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 16.Feb 11:26* | Racing Com | Harry White | Beaumont Newcastle... | Danxia | - | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 16.Feb 11:26* | Racing Com | Harry White | Beaumont Newcastle... | Dawn Rider | - | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 16.Feb 11:26* | Racing Com | Rebecca Hill | Ladbrokes Cannon P... | Parch | 4.40 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 16.Feb 11:26* | Racing Com | Rebecca Hill | Ladbrokes Cannon P... | Smokin Reels | 3.80 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 16.Feb 11:26* | Racing Com | Rebecca Hill | Ladbrokes Cannon P... | Satisfied Mugs | 1.18 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 16.Feb 11:26* | Racing Com | Rebecca Hill | Ladbrokes Cannon P... | Silverturn | 6.50 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 16.Feb 11:26* | Racing Com | Rebecca Hill | Ladbrokes Cannon P... | Super Twenty Three | 3.50 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 16.Feb 11:26* | Racing Com | Rebecca Hill | Ladbrokes Cannon P... | Yamabushi | 4.00 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 16.Feb 11:26* | Racing Com | Rebecca Hill | Ladbrokes Cannon P... | Vouchers | 1.55 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 16.Feb 11:26* | Racing Com | Rebecca Hill | Ladbrokes Cannon P... | Baggage Handler | 2.50 | - | NO BF TRACK |
| 16.Feb 11:08* | Ladbrokes Blog | Jared Timms | Randwick R9 | Lazzura | - | - | NO BF TRACK |
Record: 0W-0L | P/L: +$0.00
| Time | Src | Tipster | Event | Selection | Odds | Stake | Result | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bets in last 24 hours | ||||||||
Record: 7W-31L | P/L: -$20.57
| Time | Src | Tipster | Event | Selection | Odds | Stake | Result | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb 11:36 | BF | Jared Timms | Coffs Harbour R1 | Grafting | 1.82 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 15 Feb 11:36 | BF | Adam Olszanski | Fish Creek Hotel Maiden P... | Unriddle | 3.95 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 15 Feb 11:35 | BF | Adam Olszanski | Ladbrokes Big Best Maiden... | Helping Hands | 2.72 | $1.00 | WON | +$1.72 |
| 15 Feb 11:35 | BF | Jared Timms | Coffs Harbour R2 | Unite The Stars | 2.38 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 15 Feb 11:35 | BF | Adam Olszanski | Esplanade Hotel – Inverlo... | Mont Saint Michel | 10.00 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 15 Feb 11:35 | BF | Adam Olszanski | Meeniyan Hotel 0 - 56 Han... | Diamanda | 2.26 | $1.00 | WON | +$1.26 |
| 15 Feb 11:35 | BF | Adam Olszanski | Middle Korumburra Hotel M... | Ateyate | 6.80 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 15 Feb 11:35 | BF | Jared Timms | Coffs Harbour R7 | Patrioticintention | 3.90 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 15 Feb 11:35 | BF | Adam Olszanski | San Remo Hotel 0 - 56 Han... | Stewart | 3.25 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 15 Feb 11:35 | BF | Adam Olszanski | Foster Exchange Hotel BM5... | Ginger Sweet | 2.96 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 15 Feb 11:05 | BF | Sky Racing - Ma... | Launceston (AUS) 15th Feb | Keayang Galliano | 1.53 | $1.00 | WON | +$0.53 |
| 15 Feb 11:05 | Hub | Glenn Ingram | Stony Creek | 11. Ginger Sweet | 3.00 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 15 Feb 10:35 | BF | Sky Racing - Ma... | Launceston (AUS) 15th Feb | Arma Rolling Stone | 2.00 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 15 Feb 10:35 | BF | Sky Racing - Ma... | Launceston (AUS) 15th Feb | My Beautiful Life | 3.65 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 15 Feb 10:35 | BF | Sky Racing - Ma... | Launceston (AUS) 15th Feb | Rollwitharty | 2.70 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 15 Feb 10:05 | BF | Sky Racing - Ma... | Launceston (AUS) 15th Feb | Family Reasons | 3.75 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 15 Feb 10:05 | BF | Sky Racing - Ma... | Launceston (AUS) 15th Feb | Ultimaction | 1.50 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 15 Feb 10:05 | BF | Sky Racing - Ma... | Launceston (AUS) 15th Feb | Another Nien | 3.05 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 15 Feb 05:05 | BF | Jared Timms | Coffs Harbour R7 | Patrioticintention | 6.40 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 15 Feb 04:35 | BF | Jared Timms | Coffs Harbour R6 | Scripted | 2.54 | $1.00 | VOID | +$0.00 |
| 15 Feb 02:05 | BF | Jared Timms | Coffs Harbour R2 | Unite The Stars | 2.74 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 15 Feb 01:35 | BF | Jared Timms | Coffs Harbour R1 | Grafting | 1.67 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 14 Feb 16:35 | BF | Stats Insider | Flemington | 2. Sixties | 1.90 | $1.00 | WON | +$0.90 |
| 14 Feb 16:05 | BF | Stats Insider | Flemington | 4. Tentyris | 3.05 | $1.00 | VOID | +$0.00 |
| 14 Feb 16:05 | Hub | 2 UNITS | Flemington | 1. Giga Kick | 3.65 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 14 Feb 14:35 | BF | Tony Kneebone | Be Captivated Trophy | Scary | 8.00 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 14 Feb 14:35 | Hub | 2 UNITS | Flemington | 2. Saint George | 2.68 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 14 Feb 14:35 | Hub | 2 UNITS | Morphettville | 4. Tough Talk | 3.55 | $1.00 | WON | +$2.55 |
| 14 Feb 13:35 | Hub | 2 UNITS | Flemington | 5. Tango Jewel | 4.60 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 14 Feb 13:35 | Hub | 2 UNITS | Flemington | 5. Tango Jewel | 1.57 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 14 Feb 13:05 | Hub | 2 UNITS | Flemington | 3. Custom | 7.40 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 14 Feb 13:05 | Hub | Glenn Ingram | Ballarat | 6. Regal Ambition | 3.65 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 14 Feb 12:35 | Hub | 2 UNITS | Morphettville | 5. High On Sugar | 3.60 | $1.00 | WON | +$2.60 |
| 14 Feb 11:35 | BF | Tony Kneebone | VOBIS Gold Prelude (QC) | Immortal Star | 2.24 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 14 Feb 11:35 | BF | Tony Kneebone | The Schweppes Plate | Great Maximus | 6.80 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 14 Feb 11:35 | BF | Tony Kneebone | Desirable Stakes | Ole Dancer | 2.76 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 14 Feb 11:35 | BF | Tony Kneebone | CS Hayes Stakes | Sixties | 1.87 | $1.00 | WON | +$0.87 |
| 14 Feb 11:35 | BF | Tony Kneebone | Frances Tressady Stakes | Philia | 5.00 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 14 Feb 11:35 | BF | Tony Kneebone | TAB Talindert Stakes | Zambales | 2.80 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| 14 Feb 11:35 | BF | Tony Kneebone | Black Caviar Lightning | Tentyris | 2.74 | $1.00 | VOID | +$0.00 |
| 14 Feb 11:35 | BF | Tony Kneebone | The Elms Handicap | Sabaj | 2.96 | $1.00 | LOST | -$1.00 |
| Time (AEST) | Source | Tipster | Event | Selection | Odds | AI | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.Feb 22:24* | Hub | Ace Previews | Machac v Sinner | Tomas Machac | 11.50 | BET 17% | LOST |
| 16.Feb 21:54* | Hub | Ace Previews | Fils v Majchrzak | Fils | 1.01 | SKIP 60% | LOST |
| 16.Feb 21:54* | Hub | Betfair Cricket Trader | Australia v Sri La... | Sri Lanka | 2.84 | SKIP 29% | WON |
| 16.Feb 20:54* | Hub | Michael Tye | Sandown Park | 4. Wizard Watson | 1.67 | SKIP 40% | LOST |
| 16.Feb 20:24* | Hub | Michael Tye | Sandown Park | 8. Super Freaky | 6.80 | BET 22% | LOST |
| 16.Feb 20:24* | Hub | Michael Tye | Sandown Park | 4. Jacqui Moss | 1.73 | SKIP 39% | WON |
| 16.Feb 19:54* | Hub | Michael Tye | Sandown Park | 1. Gambella | 1.23 | SKIP 55% | WON |
| 16.Feb 19:24* | Hub | Ace Previews | L Fernandez v Tjen | Leylah Fernandez | 1.79 | SKIP 37% | LOST |
| 16.Feb 19:24* | Hub | Michael Tye | Sandown Park | 3. Crackerjack Gaz | 5.70 | BET 25% | LOST |
| 16.Feb 18:24* | Hub | Michael Tye | Sandown Park | 4. Conceivable | 1.56 | SKIP 46% | LOST |
| 16.Feb 17:54* | Hub | Scott Hill | Pinjarra | 12. Longreach Bay | 5.10 | SKIP 24% | LOST |
| 16.Feb 17:50 | Rated | Betfair Rated Model | NEWCASTLE R7 1350m... | 7. Tickle Me Pink | 5.47 | - | LOST |
| 16.Feb 17:50 | SEN | Luke Hovhanesian | Newcastle R7 | Antilocapra | 2.50 | - | LOST |
| 16.Feb 17:10 | Ladbrokes Blog | Jared Timms | Newcastle R6 | Piccaderro | 2.76 | - | LOST |
| 16.Feb 17:10 | Ladbrokes Blog | Jared Timms | Newcastle R6 | Piccaderro | 2.76 | - | LOST |
| 16.Feb 16:57 | Sky | Sky Racing - Michael Charge | CAIRNS R8 | Super Twenty Three | 3.35 | - | LOST |
| 16.Feb 16:50 | SEN | Luke Hovhanesian | Wagga R6 | Bon Holler | 2.65 | - | LOST |
| 16.Feb 16:30 | SEN | Mick Gannon | Newcastle R5 | Girls Weekend | 3.40 | - | LOST |
| 16.Feb 16:30 | Rated | Betfair Rated Model | NEWCASTLE R5 1150m... | 6. Arabian Melody | 4.66 | - | LOST |
| 16.Feb 16:30 | Rated | Betfair Rated Model | NEWCASTLE R5 1150m... | 5. Shirleys Tribute | 7.40 | - | LOST |
| 16.Feb 16:24* | Hub | Ace Previews | S Cirstea v A Sasn... | S Cirstea | 1.01 | - | LOST |
| 16.Feb 16:17 | Sky | Sky Racing - Michael Charge | CAIRNS R7 | Injada | 8.40 | - | WON |
| 16.Feb 16:10 | SEN | Mick Gannon | Wagga R5 | Tallingas Immortal | 1.85 | - | WON |
| 16.Feb 16:10 | Rated | Betfair Rated Model | WAGGA R5 1000m Hca... | 3. Magna Mak | 8.30 | - | LOST |
| 16.Feb 15:54* | Hub | Scott Hill | Pinjarra | 7. Classical Ellie | 2.32 | - | LOST |
| Source | Bets | Record | P/L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bf Rated Model | 55 | 12W-41L | +$18.97 | +34.5% |
| Hub Best Bets | 404 | 134W-261L | -$84.97 | -21.0% |
| Betfair Tips | 615 | 165W-434L | -$147.29 | -23.9% |
Model: logistic_v3 | Training Data: 6,215 samples | L2 Lambda: 0.01 | Calibration: 0 points | Last Retrain: 16 Feb 18:22 AEST
How each feature affects P(win). Bias: -1.022
Green = increases / Red = decreases win probability
| Feature | Weight | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Tipster x Odds | +0.524 |
|
| Trainer Edge | +0.462 |
|
| Jockey Edge | +0.402 |
|
| Implied Prob | +0.392 |
|
| Log Odds | -0.313 |
|
| Venue Edge | +0.290 |
|
| Odds Bracket Edge | -0.262 |
|
| Source Edge | -0.112 |
|
| Tipster Volume | +0.101 |
|
| Recent Form | +0.077 |
|
| Category Edge | +0.066 |
|
| Tipster Edge (30d) | -0.034 |
|
| Tipster Edge (All) | +0.034 |
|
Predicted vs actual win rates
| Prob Range | Count | Predicted | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-30% | 944 | 17% | 22% | +5% |
| 30-50% | 4417 | 36% | 30% | -6% |
| 50-70% | 311 | 61% | 46% | -15% |
| 70-100% | 45 | 70% | 51% | -19% |
Last 12 hours and next 12 hours of tips, sorted by event time. Showing: 17 | BET: 4 | SKIP: 13 | Settled: 11 | Avg EV: +0.08 | Accuracy: 45.5%
| Event (AEST) | Tipster | Selection | Odds | EV | Edge | Source | AI Prob | Decision | Top Factor | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb 17:00 | Jared Timms | Algadon Storm | 5.00 | +0.24 | +4.8% | LB | 24.8% | SKIP | pending | |
| 17 Feb 15:30 | Jared Timms | Ellsworth | 5.20 | +0.27 | +5.2% | LB | 24.4% | SKIP | pending | |
| 17 Feb 15:05 | Kevin Casey | Chispa | 3.00 | +0.13 | +4.4% | SB | 37.8% | SKIP | pending | |
| 17 Feb 15:00 | Jared Timms | Sealand | 4.50 | +0.17 | +3.8% | LB | 26.0% | SKIP | pending | |
| 17 Feb 14:25 | Kevin Casey | Barrengarry | 13.00 | +1.13 | +8.7% | SB | 16.4% | BET | pending | |
| 17 Feb 13:30 | Jared Timms | Phoenician | 2.30 | -0.44 | -19.1% | LB | 24.3% | SKIP | pending | |
| 17 Feb 03:30 | Ace Previews | Tomas Machac | 11.50 | +0.97 | +8.4% | Hub | 17.1% | BET | LOST -$1.00 | |
| 17 Feb 01:00 | Ace Previews | Fils | 1.01 | -0.39 | -39.0% | Hub | 60.0% | SKIP | LOST -$1.00 | |
| 17 Feb 00:30 | Betfair Cricket Trader | Sri Lanka | 2.84 | -0.19 | -6.7% | Hub | 28.6% | SKIP | WON +$1.84 | |
| 16 Feb 22:27 | Michael Tye | 4. Wizard Watson | 1.67 | -0.33 | -19.7% | Hub | 40.1% | SKIP | LOST -$1.00 | |
| 16 Feb 22:01 | Michael Tye | 8. Super Freaky | 6.80 | +0.50 | +7.4% | Hub | 22.1% | BET | LOST -$1.00 | |
| 16 Feb 21:43 | Michael Tye | 4. Jacqui Moss | 1.73 | -0.33 | -19.0% | Hub | 38.8% | SKIP | WON +$0.73 | |
| 16 Feb 21:24 | Michael Tye | 1. Gambella | 1.23 | -0.32 | -26.0% | Hub | 55.3% | SKIP | WON +$0.23 | |
| 16 Feb 21:00 | Ace Previews | Leylah Fernandez | 1.79 | -0.34 | -19.2% | Hub | 36.6% | SKIP | LOST -$1.00 | |
| 16 Feb 20:24 | Michael Tye | 3. Crackerjack Gaz | 5.70 | +0.40 | +7.0% | Hub | 24.5% | BET | LOST -$1.00 | |
| 16 Feb 20:06 | Michael Tye | 4. Conceivable | 1.56 | -0.28 | -18.3% | Hub | 45.8% | SKIP | LOST -$1.00 | |
| 16 Feb 20:01 | Scott Hill | 12. Longreach Bay | 5.10 | +0.23 | +4.4% | Hub | 24.0% | SKIP | LOST -$1.00 |