Tipster dossier — settled-bet performance through 2026-05-30 16:16 UTC
A straight upward line = consistent profitability. Step-jumps = single fortunate bets carrying the curve.
Blue bars under orange = picks lose to market expectations.
Strip away the top winning bets and see how the picture changes — a stable record degrades gracefully, a lucky record collapses.
| Subset | N | P/L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full record | 25 | +$19.50 | +78.0% |
| Minus best 1 bet | 24 | +$15.00 | +62.5% |
| Minus best 2 bets | 23 | +$11.00 | +47.8% |
| Minus best 5 bets | 20 | $-0.20 | -1.0% |
If stripping the top 2 wins materially changes the ROI, the headline number is being held up by a couple of fortunate longshots — not stable skill.
(insufficient sample to compare recent vs prior)
| Month | N | Win % | Avg Odds | P/L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 8 | 25.0% | 4.80 | $-0.40 | -5.0% |
| 2026-04 | 15 | 66.7% | 4.44 | +$21.90 | +146.0% |
| 2026-05 | 2 | 0.0% | 5.50 | $-2.00 | -100.0% |
| Odds | N | Win % | P/L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0-3.0 | 4 | 75.0% | +$3.00 | +75.0% |
| 3.0-5.0 | 10 | 60.0% | +$12.00 | +120.0% |
| 5.0-8.0 | 9 | 33.3% | +$6.50 | +72.2% |
| 8.0-15 | 2 | 0.0% | $-2.00 | -100.0% |
| Pre-race Rank | N | Win % | P/L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank 3 | 1 | 0.0% | $-1.00 | -100.0% |
| Rank 4-5 | 1 | 0.0% | $-1.00 | -100.0% |
Based on 2 of 25 tips where pre-race rank was captured live (data started May 17, 2026).
| Subset | N | Win % | P/L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| In Zone (rank ≤ 3 AND odds ≥ 5) | 1 | 0.0% | $-1.00 | -100.0% |
| Outside Zone | 1 | 0.0% | $-1.00 | -100.0% |
| Source | N | Win % | P/L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| sportsbet_racing | 25 | 48.0% | +$19.50 | +78.0% |
(no venue data with sufficient samples)
| Day | N | Win % | P/L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue | 1 | 100.0% | +$2.10 | +210.0% |
| Sun | 1 | 100.0% | +$1.15 | +115.0% |
No place outcomes captured yet for this tipster.
| Date | Venue | Selection | Odds | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | hamilton | Corro | 5.50 | +$4.50 |
| 2026-04-25 | narromine | Smart Scud | 5.00 | +$4.00 |
| 2026-04-20 | muswellbrook | Saratoga Power | 5.00 | +$4.00 |
| 2026-04-04 | randwick | Profoundly | 4.80 | +$3.80 |
| 2026-03-07 | stony creek | Stewart | 4.40 | +$3.40 |
| Date | Venue | Selection | Odds | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-20 | swan hill | Western Lane | 6.50 | $-1.00 |
| 2026-04-20 | muswellbrook | Ready And Lucky | 3.80 | $-1.00 |
| 2026-04-20 | swan hill | Apple Eyes | 7.50 | $-1.00 |
| 2026-03-07 | stony creek | Juice Box | 2.60 | $-1.00 |
| 2026-03-01 | tamworth | Canny Prospect | 8.50 | $-1.00 |