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Mark Wise

Tipster dossier — settled-bet performance through 2026-05-30 16:16 UTC

Verdict
BREAK-EVEN / MARGINAL
Small sample (9 bets) — anything below ~100 settled bets means CIs are wide enough to be near-useless. Calibration is negative: actual win rate 22.2% trails market-implied 27.4% by -5.2pp — picks have negative skill relative to fair odds.

Charts

Cumulative P/L (theoretical $1 stakes)

A straight upward line = consistent profitability. Step-jumps = single fortunate bets carrying the curve.

Monthly ROI %

Top 10 P/L outliers

ROI by odds bracket

Calibration — actual vs implied win rate by odds

Blue bars under orange = picks lose to market expectations.

ROI by day of week

At a glance

Total Bets
9
Wins
2
Win Rate
22.2%
Avg Odds
5.61
Total P/L ($1 stakes)
+$0.00
ROI
+0.0%
Implied Win % (1/odds)
27.4%
Calibration Gap
-5.2pp

What's driving the ROI?

Strip away the top winning bets and see how the picture changes — a stable record degrades gracefully, a lucky record collapses.

(insufficient data)

Recent trend

(insufficient sample to compare recent vs prior)

Monthly performance

MonthNWin %Avg OddsP/LROI
2026-0320.0%5.75$-2.00-100.0%
2026-04520.0%4.20$-3.00-60.0%
2026-05250.0%9.00+$5.00+250.0%

By odds bracket

OddsNWin %P/LROI
<2.010.0%$-1.00-100.0%
2.0-3.0250.0%+$0.00+0.0%
3.0-5.010.0%$-1.00-100.0%
5.0-8.0333.3%+$4.00+133.3%
8.0-1520.0%$-2.00-100.0%

By pre-race rank

No pre-race rank data yet for this tipster.

Strategy Zone (rank ≤ 3 AND odds ≥ 5)

No rank data yet.

By source

SourceNWin %P/LROI
sportsbet_racing922.2%+$0.00+0.0%

By venue

(no venue data with sufficient samples)

By day of week

(no day-of-week data)

Place market

No place outcomes captured yet for this tipster.

Biggest wins

DateVenueSelectionOddsP/L
2026-05-15toowoombaLuton Hoo7.00+$6.00
2026-04-29geraldtonSolar Crest2.00+$1.00

Biggest losses

DateVenueSelectionOddsP/L
2026-04-05yorkZac Luvs To Fly5.00$-1.00
2026-04-29geraldtonSouthland1.70$-1.00
2026-03-18albanyPure Chino9.50$-1.00
2026-03-18albanyAcoustic Bubbles2.00$-1.00
2026-05-15toowoombaDarth Invader11.00$-1.00
Generated 2026-05-30 16:16 UTC. Stats based on theoretical $1 BACK stakes settled on Betfair. Place data uses captured Betfair Starting Price. ROI = total P/L divided by total bets — high variance at small samples.